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Weather in Ward 51, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 28.3 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 63 mm. Coldest night 14.3 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 3 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.8 | 16.1 | 6.5 |
| 2 | 20.0 | 15.5 | 4.7 |
| 3 | 23.3 | 14.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 26.2 | 16.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 28.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 30 mm, normal 63 mm |
| December | 19 mm, normal 53 mm |
| January | 26 mm, normal 48 mm |
| February | 71 mm, normal 53 mm |
| March | 70 mm, normal 54 mm |
| April | 71 mm, normal 45 mm |
| May | 195 mm, normal 26 mm |
| June | 92 mm, normal 25 mm |
| July | 35 mm, normal 26 mm |
| August | 23 mm, normal 39 mm |
| September | 104 mm, normal 36 mm |
| October | 87 mm, normal 55 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 449 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 544 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 573 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 535 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 608 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 752 mm (+44% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 390 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 463 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 569 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 620 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 677 mm (+29% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 488 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 468 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 526 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 515 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 638 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 492 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 455 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 391 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 462 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 713 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 713 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 475 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 616 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 527 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 414 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 404 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 441 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 344 mm (-34% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 441 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 448 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 428 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 608 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 584 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 368 mm (-30% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1996 (752 mm). Driest: 2019 (344 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.4 °C in December 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 48 | 53 | 54 | 45 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 39 | 36 | 55 | 63 | 53 |
| Mean °C | 21.8 | 22.1 | 20.8 | 18.5 | 16.5 | 14.4 | 13.9 | 14.3 | 15.6 | 17.3 | 18.6 | 20.6 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.