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Weather in Ward 53, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 28.9 °C, 12 mm of rain; a normal November has 62 mm. Coldest night 14.6 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 13 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20.2 | 16.4 | 7.4 |
| 2 | 19.9 | 15.8 | 4.3 |
| 3 | 23.4 | 14.6 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 26.2 | 16.7 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 28.9 | 17.1 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 29 mm, normal 62 mm |
| December | 19 mm, normal 52 mm |
| January | 24 mm, normal 46 mm |
| February | 75 mm, normal 51 mm |
| March | 65 mm, normal 52 mm |
| April | 63 mm, normal 44 mm |
| May | 170 mm, normal 24 mm |
| June | 84 mm, normal 25 mm |
| July | 33 mm, normal 26 mm |
| August | 22 mm, normal 38 mm |
| September | 92 mm, normal 35 mm |
| October | 83 mm, normal 54 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 442 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 524 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 558 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 527 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 592 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 714 mm (+40% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 377 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 462 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 566 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 604 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 666 mm (+30% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 468 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 460 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 496 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 494 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 634 mm (+24% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 482 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 451 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 374 mm (-27% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 451 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 706 mm (+38% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 703 mm (+37% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 478 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 596 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 521 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 406 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 399 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 433 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 332 mm (-35% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 428 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 441 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 424 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 588 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 555 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 365 mm (-29% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1996 (714 mm). Driest: 2019 (332 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.5 °C in December 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 46 | 51 | 52 | 44 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 38 | 35 | 54 | 62 | 52 |
| Mean °C | 22.0 | 22.3 | 21.0 | 18.6 | 16.5 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 14.4 | 15.7 | 17.5 | 18.9 | 20.8 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.