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Weather in Ward 54, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 27.4 °C, 12 mm of rain; a normal November has 58 mm. Coldest night 15.0 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20.2 | 17.1 | 6.8 |
| 2 | 20.3 | 16.5 | 5.1 |
| 3 | 22.6 | 15.0 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 24.6 | 17.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 27.4 | 17.8 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 23 mm, normal 58 mm |
| December | 15 mm, normal 48 mm |
| January | 22 mm, normal 42 mm |
| February | 66 mm, normal 46 mm |
| March | 60 mm, normal 48 mm |
| April | 66 mm, normal 42 mm |
| May | 175 mm, normal 25 mm |
| June | 83 mm, normal 25 mm |
| July | 34 mm, normal 25 mm |
| August | 21 mm, normal 39 mm |
| September | 85 mm, normal 33 mm |
| October | 83 mm, normal 50 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 409 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 500 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 560 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 496 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 564 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 686 mm (+42% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 368 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 421 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 514 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 549 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 607 mm (+26% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 448 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 435 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 495 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 468 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 585 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 473 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 414 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 351 mm (-27% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 415 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 682 mm (+42% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 654 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 445 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 548 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 505 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 382 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 376 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 401 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 311 mm (-35% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 391 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 396 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 400 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 553 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 518 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 317 mm (-34% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1996 (686 mm). Driest: 2019 (311 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.4 °C in December 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 42 | 46 | 48 | 42 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 39 | 33 | 50 | 58 | 48 |
| Mean °C | 22.2 | 22.5 | 21.3 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 14.5 | 14.8 | 16.1 | 17.7 | 19.1 | 21.0 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.