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Weather in Ward 56, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 27.0 °C, 12 mm of rain; a normal November has 57 mm. Coldest night 15.2 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 10 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell, and 4 of them get exactly the same figures.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20.2 | 17.3 | 6.7 |
| 2 | 20.3 | 16.8 | 5.3 |
| 3 | 22.3 | 15.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 24.0 | 17.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 27.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 22 mm, normal 57 mm |
| December | 14 mm, normal 46 mm |
| January | 20 mm, normal 41 mm |
| February | 65 mm, normal 44 mm |
| March | 58 mm, normal 47 mm |
| April | 66 mm, normal 41 mm |
| May | 174 mm, normal 25 mm |
| June | 81 mm, normal 26 mm |
| July | 34 mm, normal 25 mm |
| August | 21 mm, normal 39 mm |
| September | 81 mm, normal 33 mm |
| October | 82 mm, normal 49 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 402 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 490 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 560 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 487 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 557 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 672 mm (+42% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 369 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 410 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 499 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 535 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 591 mm (+25% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 442 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 431 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 491 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 460 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 572 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 471 mm (-0% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 405 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 344 mm (-27% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 403 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 676 mm (+43% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 639 mm (+35% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 435 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 533 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 501 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 376 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 370 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 391 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 304 mm (-36% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 383 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 384 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 396 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 544 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 507 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 306 mm (-35% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2011 (676 mm). Driest: 2019 (304 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.0 °C in October 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 41 | 44 | 47 | 41 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 39 | 33 | 49 | 57 | 46 |
| Mean °C | 22.2 | 22.5 | 21.3 | 19.1 | 17.1 | 15.1 | 14.6 | 14.9 | 16.1 | 17.8 | 19.1 | 21.0 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.