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Weather in Ward 4, Ubuntu

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 33.8 °C, 0.2 mm of rain; a normal November has 25 mm. Coldest night 11.0 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
128.914.80.1
225.911.20.0
330.511.00.0
431.512.80.0
533.819.10.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 31 mm, normal 25 mmNDecember: 18 mm, normal 32 mmDJanuary: 2.5 mm, normal 43 mmJFebruary: 122 mm, normal 39 mmFMarch: 51 mm, normal 42 mmMApril: 67 mm, normal 26 mmAMay: 95 mm, normal 17 mmMJune: 35 mm, normal 11 mmJJuly: 1.9 mm, normal 11 mmJAugust: 7.4 mm, normal 11 mmASeptember: 79 mm, normal 13 mmSOctober: 36 mm, normal 21 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November31 mm, normal 25 mm
December18 mm, normal 32 mm
January2.5 mm, normal 43 mm
February122 mm, normal 39 mm
March51 mm, normal 42 mm
April67 mm, normal 26 mm
May95 mm, normal 17 mm
June35 mm, normal 11 mm
July1.9 mm, normal 11 mm
August7.4 mm, normal 11 mm
September79 mm, normal 13 mm
October36 mm, normal 21 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 287 mm (-1% on the normal)1992: 167 mm (-43% on the normal)1993: 222 mm (-24% on the normal)1994: 210 mm (-28% on the normal)1995: 347 mm (+19% on the normal)1996: 380 mm (+31% on the normal)1997: 234 mm (-20% on the normal)1998: 240 mm (-17% on the normal)1999: 295 mm (+1% on the normal)2000: 379 mm (+30% on the normal)2001: 423 mm (+45% on the normal)2002: 347 mm (+19% on the normal)2003: 241 mm (-17% on the normal)2004: 310 mm (+7% on the normal)2005: 266 mm (-9% on the normal)2006: 453 mm (+56% on the normal)2007: 250 mm (-14% on the normal)2008: 306 mm (+5% on the normal)2009: 267 mm (-8% on the normal)2010: 351 mm (+21% on the normal)2011: 428 mm (+47% on the normal)2012: 438 mm (+51% on the normal)2013: 228 mm (-22% on the normal)2014: 263 mm (-10% on the normal)2015: 256 mm (-12% on the normal)2016: 257 mm (-12% on the normal)2017: 259 mm (-11% on the normal)2018: 206 mm (-29% on the normal)2019: 139 mm (-52% on the normal)2020: 277 mm (-5% on the normal)2021: 284 mm (-2% on the normal)2022: 335 mm (+15% on the normal)2023: 309 mm (+6% on the normal)2024: 245 mm (-16% on the normal)2025: 284 mm (-2% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (291 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991287 mm (-1% on the normal)
1992167 mm (-43% on the normal)
1993222 mm (-24% on the normal)
1994210 mm (-28% on the normal)
1995347 mm (+19% on the normal)
1996380 mm (+31% on the normal)
1997234 mm (-20% on the normal)
1998240 mm (-17% on the normal)
1999295 mm (+1% on the normal)
2000379 mm (+30% on the normal)
2001423 mm (+45% on the normal)
2002347 mm (+19% on the normal)
2003241 mm (-17% on the normal)
2004310 mm (+7% on the normal)
2005266 mm (-9% on the normal)
2006453 mm (+56% on the normal)
2007250 mm (-14% on the normal)
2008306 mm (+5% on the normal)
2009267 mm (-8% on the normal)
2010351 mm (+21% on the normal)
2011428 mm (+47% on the normal)
2012438 mm (+51% on the normal)
2013228 mm (-22% on the normal)
2014263 mm (-10% on the normal)
2015256 mm (-12% on the normal)
2016257 mm (-12% on the normal)
2017259 mm (-11% on the normal)
2018206 mm (-29% on the normal)
2019139 mm (-52% on the normal)
2020277 mm (-5% on the normal)
2021284 mm (-2% on the normal)
2022335 mm (+15% on the normal)
2023309 mm (+6% on the normal)
2024245 mm (-16% on the normal)
2025284 mm (-2% on the normal)

Wettest: 2006 (453 mm). Driest: 2019 (139 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.3 °C in January 2023.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm433942261711111113212532
Mean °C22.822.520.215.912.28.48.210.314.117.119.321.7

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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