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Weather in Ward 4, Tokologo

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 35.4 °C, 6.2 mm of rain; a normal November has 64 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 14.8 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 2 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
127.318.10.4
230.315.81.8
332.414.81.4
432.715.70.0
535.418.22.6

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 96 mm, normal 64 mmNDecember: 74 mm, normal 76 mmDJanuary: 48 mm, normal 87 mmJFebruary: 79 mm, normal 76 mmFMarch: 86 mm, normal 69 mmMApril: 149 mm, normal 46 mmAMay: 12 mm, normal 20 mmMJune: 22 mm, normal 11 mmJJuly: 5.0 mm, normal 6.5 mmJAugust: 23 mm, normal 13 mmASeptember: 89 mm, normal 16 mmSOctober: 13 mm, normal 40 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November96 mm, normal 64 mm
December74 mm, normal 76 mm
January48 mm, normal 87 mm
February79 mm, normal 76 mm
March86 mm, normal 69 mm
April149 mm, normal 46 mm
May12 mm, normal 20 mm
June22 mm, normal 11 mm
July5.0 mm, normal 6.5 mm
August23 mm, normal 13 mm
September89 mm, normal 16 mm
October13 mm, normal 40 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 772 mm (+47% on the normal)1992: 308 mm (-41% on the normal)1993: 559 mm (+7% on the normal)1994: 359 mm (-31% on the normal)1995: 450 mm (-14% on the normal)1996: 712 mm (+36% on the normal)1997: 606 mm (+16% on the normal)1998: 579 mm (+11% on the normal)1999: 493 mm (-6% on the normal)2000: 597 mm (+14% on the normal)2001: 820 mm (+57% on the normal)2002: 571 mm (+9% on the normal)2003: 426 mm (-19% on the normal)2004: 489 mm (-7% on the normal)2005: 481 mm (-8% on the normal)2006: 784 mm (+50% on the normal)2007: 428 mm (-18% on the normal)2008: 385 mm (-26% on the normal)2009: 615 mm (+17% on the normal)2010: 661 mm (+26% on the normal)2011: 667 mm (+27% on the normal)2012: 396 mm (-24% on the normal)2013: 338 mm (-35% on the normal)2014: 596 mm (+14% on the normal)2015: 270 mm (-48% on the normal)2016: 483 mm (-8% on the normal)2017: 487 mm (-7% on the normal)2018: 411 mm (-22% on the normal)2019: 418 mm (-20% on the normal)2020: 545 mm (+4% on the normal)2021: 794 mm (+52% on the normal)2022: 626 mm (+20% on the normal)2023: 377 mm (-28% on the normal)2024: 393 mm (-25% on the normal)2025: 648 mm (+24% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (524 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991772 mm (+47% on the normal)
1992308 mm (-41% on the normal)
1993559 mm (+7% on the normal)
1994359 mm (-31% on the normal)
1995450 mm (-14% on the normal)
1996712 mm (+36% on the normal)
1997606 mm (+16% on the normal)
1998579 mm (+11% on the normal)
1999493 mm (-6% on the normal)
2000597 mm (+14% on the normal)
2001820 mm (+57% on the normal)
2002571 mm (+9% on the normal)
2003426 mm (-19% on the normal)
2004489 mm (-7% on the normal)
2005481 mm (-8% on the normal)
2006784 mm (+50% on the normal)
2007428 mm (-18% on the normal)
2008385 mm (-26% on the normal)
2009615 mm (+17% on the normal)
2010661 mm (+26% on the normal)
2011667 mm (+27% on the normal)
2012396 mm (-24% on the normal)
2013338 mm (-35% on the normal)
2014596 mm (+14% on the normal)
2015270 mm (-48% on the normal)
2016483 mm (-8% on the normal)
2017487 mm (-7% on the normal)
2018411 mm (-22% on the normal)
2019418 mm (-20% on the normal)
2020545 mm (+4% on the normal)
2021794 mm (+52% on the normal)
2022626 mm (+20% on the normal)
2023377 mm (-28% on the normal)
2024393 mm (-25% on the normal)
2025648 mm (+24% on the normal)

Wettest: 2001 (820 mm). Driest: 2015 (270 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.4 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm87766946201171316406476
Mean °C24.123.321.317.413.810.210.213.217.720.522.023.6

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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