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Weather in Ward 16, Umzumbe
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 29.3 °C, 30 mm of rain; a normal November has 114 mm. Coldest night 17.8 °C on 5 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 3 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24.8 | 18.2 | 2.2 |
| 2 | 20.4 | 18.6 | 14.2 |
| 3 | 21.0 | 18.4 | 10.5 |
| 4 | 24.2 | 19.5 | 1.0 |
| 5 | 29.3 | 17.8 | 2.5 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 114 mm, normal 114 mm |
| December | 105 mm, normal 115 mm |
| January | 50 mm, normal 118 mm |
| February | 170 mm, normal 101 mm |
| March | 67 mm, normal 108 mm |
| April | 31 mm, normal 89 mm |
| May | 67 mm, normal 45 mm |
| June | 26 mm, normal 35 mm |
| July | 119 mm, normal 43 mm |
| August | 53 mm, normal 44 mm |
| September | 112 mm, normal 72 mm |
| October | 88 mm, normal 109 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 978 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 623 mm (-37% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 824 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 845 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,205 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,115 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,280 mm (+29% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,001 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 1,121 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,304 mm (+32% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,080 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 871 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 797 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 882 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 901 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,195 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 911 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 941 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,037 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 725 mm (-27% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,094 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,193 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,055 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 746 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 811 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 1,033 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,308 mm (+32% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 817 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 1,177 mm (+19% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 875 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,111 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,185 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,034 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 1,047 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,183 mm (+19% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2017 (1,308 mm). Driest: 1992 (623 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 34.1 °C in February 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 118 | 101 | 108 | 89 | 45 | 35 | 43 | 44 | 72 | 109 | 114 | 115 |
| Mean °C | 22.8 | 23.2 | 22.4 | 20.5 | 18.6 | 16.5 | 16.0 | 16.9 | 18.0 | 19.0 | 20.2 | 21.8 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.