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Weather in Ward 1, uMshwathi

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.0 °C, 33 mm of rain; a normal November has 125 mm. Coldest night 14.6 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 9 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
124.516.213.6
223.114.67.8
321.815.68.9
425.016.30.3
531.017.62.2

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 128 mm, normal 125 mmNDecember: 191 mm, normal 146 mmDJanuary: 72 mm, normal 153 mmJFebruary: 173 mm, normal 131 mmFMarch: 99 mm, normal 107 mmMApril: 75 mm, normal 66 mmAMay: 44 mm, normal 31 mmMJune: 16 mm, normal 23 mmJJuly: 31 mm, normal 29 mmJAugust: 34 mm, normal 36 mmASeptember: 107 mm, normal 53 mmSOctober: 58 mm, normal 99 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November128 mm, normal 125 mm
December191 mm, normal 146 mm
January72 mm, normal 153 mm
February173 mm, normal 131 mm
March99 mm, normal 107 mm
April75 mm, normal 66 mm
May44 mm, normal 31 mm
June16 mm, normal 23 mm
July31 mm, normal 29 mm
August34 mm, normal 36 mm
September107 mm, normal 53 mm
October58 mm, normal 99 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 1,084 mm (+9% on the normal)1992: 851 mm (-15% on the normal)1993: 888 mm (-11% on the normal)1994: 885 mm (-11% on the normal)1995: 1,238 mm (+24% on the normal)1996: 1,307 mm (+31% on the normal)1997: 1,069 mm (+7% on the normal)1998: 920 mm (-8% on the normal)1999: 1,012 mm (+1% on the normal)2000: 1,198 mm (+20% on the normal)2001: 1,184 mm (+19% on the normal)2002: 1,103 mm (+11% on the normal)2003: 779 mm (-22% on the normal)2004: 1,052 mm (+5% on the normal)2005: 1,091 mm (+9% on the normal)2006: 1,279 mm (+28% on the normal)2007: 797 mm (-20% on the normal)2008: 790 mm (-21% on the normal)2009: 958 mm (-4% on the normal)2010: 907 mm (-9% on the normal)2011: 1,000 mm (+0% on the normal)2012: 1,103 mm (+11% on the normal)2013: 993 mm (-0% on the normal)2014: 788 mm (-21% on the normal)2015: 874 mm (-12% on the normal)2016: 939 mm (-6% on the normal)2017: 1,036 mm (+4% on the normal)2018: 873 mm (-12% on the normal)2019: 949 mm (-5% on the normal)2020: 986 mm (-1% on the normal)2021: 1,255 mm (+26% on the normal)2022: 1,151 mm (+15% on the normal)2023: 1,057 mm (+6% on the normal)2024: 828 mm (-17% on the normal)2025: 1,146 mm (+15% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (998 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
19911,084 mm (+9% on the normal)
1992851 mm (-15% on the normal)
1993888 mm (-11% on the normal)
1994885 mm (-11% on the normal)
19951,238 mm (+24% on the normal)
19961,307 mm (+31% on the normal)
19971,069 mm (+7% on the normal)
1998920 mm (-8% on the normal)
19991,012 mm (+1% on the normal)
20001,198 mm (+20% on the normal)
20011,184 mm (+19% on the normal)
20021,103 mm (+11% on the normal)
2003779 mm (-22% on the normal)
20041,052 mm (+5% on the normal)
20051,091 mm (+9% on the normal)
20061,279 mm (+28% on the normal)
2007797 mm (-20% on the normal)
2008790 mm (-21% on the normal)
2009958 mm (-4% on the normal)
2010907 mm (-9% on the normal)
20111,000 mm (+0% on the normal)
20121,103 mm (+11% on the normal)
2013993 mm (-0% on the normal)
2014788 mm (-21% on the normal)
2015874 mm (-12% on the normal)
2016939 mm (-6% on the normal)
20171,036 mm (+4% on the normal)
2018873 mm (-12% on the normal)
2019949 mm (-5% on the normal)
2020986 mm (-1% on the normal)
20211,255 mm (+26% on the normal)
20221,151 mm (+15% on the normal)
20231,057 mm (+6% on the normal)
2024828 mm (-17% on the normal)
20251,146 mm (+15% on the normal)

Wettest: 1996 (1,307 mm). Driest: 2003 (779 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 35.9 °C in January 2025.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm15313110766312329365399125146
Mean °C20.020.119.016.614.211.411.213.315.616.517.719.2

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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