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Weather in Ward 4, uMshwathi

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 33.0 °C, 34 mm of rain; a normal November has 135 mm. Coldest night 16.0 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 5 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
125.316.312.3
221.416.03.7
322.317.011.4
424.417.41.4
533.017.65.5

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 125 mm, normal 135 mmNDecember: 169 mm, normal 148 mmDJanuary: 79 mm, normal 147 mmJFebruary: 152 mm, normal 134 mmFMarch: 104 mm, normal 118 mmMApril: 70 mm, normal 74 mmAMay: 48 mm, normal 40 mmMJune: 18 mm, normal 26 mmJJuly: 31 mm, normal 38 mmJAugust: 38 mm, normal 40 mmASeptember: 111 mm, normal 68 mmSOctober: 72 mm, normal 110 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November125 mm, normal 135 mm
December169 mm, normal 148 mm
January79 mm, normal 147 mm
February152 mm, normal 134 mm
March104 mm, normal 118 mm
April70 mm, normal 74 mm
May48 mm, normal 40 mm
June18 mm, normal 26 mm
July31 mm, normal 38 mm
August38 mm, normal 40 mm
September111 mm, normal 68 mm
October72 mm, normal 110 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 1,116 mm (+4% on the normal)1992: 924 mm (-14% on the normal)1993: 932 mm (-13% on the normal)1994: 884 mm (-18% on the normal)1995: 1,291 mm (+20% on the normal)1996: 1,404 mm (+30% on the normal)1997: 1,181 mm (+10% on the normal)1998: 975 mm (-9% on the normal)1999: 1,268 mm (+18% on the normal)2000: 1,329 mm (+23% on the normal)2001: 1,241 mm (+15% on the normal)2002: 1,111 mm (+3% on the normal)2003: 867 mm (-19% on the normal)2004: 1,185 mm (+10% on the normal)2005: 1,105 mm (+3% on the normal)2006: 1,236 mm (+15% on the normal)2007: 877 mm (-19% on the normal)2008: 817 mm (-24% on the normal)2009: 1,082 mm (+1% on the normal)2010: 930 mm (-14% on the normal)2011: 1,187 mm (+10% on the normal)2012: 1,196 mm (+11% on the normal)2013: 1,089 mm (+1% on the normal)2014: 809 mm (-25% on the normal)2015: 882 mm (-18% on the normal)2016: 1,015 mm (-6% on the normal)2017: 1,173 mm (+9% on the normal)2018: 1,006 mm (-7% on the normal)2019: 1,088 mm (+1% on the normal)2020: 1,094 mm (+2% on the normal)2021: 1,431 mm (+33% on the normal)2022: 1,264 mm (+17% on the normal)2023: 1,261 mm (+17% on the normal)2024: 940 mm (-13% on the normal)2025: 1,231 mm (+14% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (1,076 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
19911,116 mm (+4% on the normal)
1992924 mm (-14% on the normal)
1993932 mm (-13% on the normal)
1994884 mm (-18% on the normal)
19951,291 mm (+20% on the normal)
19961,404 mm (+30% on the normal)
19971,181 mm (+10% on the normal)
1998975 mm (-9% on the normal)
19991,268 mm (+18% on the normal)
20001,329 mm (+23% on the normal)
20011,241 mm (+15% on the normal)
20021,111 mm (+3% on the normal)
2003867 mm (-19% on the normal)
20041,185 mm (+10% on the normal)
20051,105 mm (+3% on the normal)
20061,236 mm (+15% on the normal)
2007877 mm (-19% on the normal)
2008817 mm (-24% on the normal)
20091,082 mm (+1% on the normal)
2010930 mm (-14% on the normal)
20111,187 mm (+10% on the normal)
20121,196 mm (+11% on the normal)
20131,089 mm (+1% on the normal)
2014809 mm (-25% on the normal)
2015882 mm (-18% on the normal)
20161,015 mm (-6% on the normal)
20171,173 mm (+9% on the normal)
20181,006 mm (-7% on the normal)
20191,088 mm (+1% on the normal)
20201,094 mm (+2% on the normal)
20211,431 mm (+33% on the normal)
20221,264 mm (+17% on the normal)
20231,261 mm (+17% on the normal)
2024940 mm (-13% on the normal)
20251,231 mm (+14% on the normal)

Wettest: 2021 (1,431 mm). Driest: 2014 (809 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.7 °C in January 2025.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm147134118744026384068110135148
Mean °C20.921.020.117.815.513.112.814.616.417.318.620.1

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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