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Weather in Ward 17, The Msunduzi
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.7 °C, 48 mm of rain; a normal November has 132 mm. Coldest night 15.2 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23.8 | 15.6 | 20.1 |
| 2 | 20.8 | 15.2 | 10.9 |
| 3 | 19.1 | 15.9 | 10.5 |
| 4 | 24.4 | 17.1 | 0.7 |
| 5 | 31.7 | 16.3 | 5.7 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 151 mm, normal 132 mm |
| December | 189 mm, normal 149 mm |
| January | 70 mm, normal 151 mm |
| February | 223 mm, normal 127 mm |
| March | 86 mm, normal 114 mm |
| April | 69 mm, normal 72 mm |
| May | 45 mm, normal 36 mm |
| June | 19 mm, normal 28 mm |
| July | 38 mm, normal 35 mm |
| August | 41 mm, normal 43 mm |
| September | 110 mm, normal 68 mm |
| October | 65 mm, normal 115 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,116 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 903 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 906 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 910 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,375 mm (+29% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,277 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,233 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 986 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 1,221 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,295 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,250 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 1,116 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 859 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 1,057 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 1,109 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,269 mm (+19% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 909 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 922 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,051 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 946 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,097 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,150 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,108 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 920 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 881 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 1,096 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,147 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 877 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 1,020 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 1,020 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,328 mm (+24% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,252 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,133 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 944 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,277 mm (+20% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1995 (1,375 mm). Driest: 2003 (859 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.5 °C in January 2025.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 151 | 127 | 114 | 72 | 36 | 28 | 35 | 43 | 68 | 115 | 132 | 149 |
| Mean °C | 20.1 | 20.3 | 19.3 | 16.9 | 14.5 | 11.8 | 11.6 | 13.6 | 15.6 | 16.6 | 17.8 | 19.3 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.