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Weather in Ward 18, The Msunduzi

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 32.1 °C, 48 mm of rain; a normal November has 130 mm. Coldest night 15.5 °C on 1 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 10 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
124.115.519.4
220.915.510.8
319.316.210.8
424.417.50.8
532.116.25.7

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 146 mm, normal 130 mmNDecember: 185 mm, normal 146 mmDJanuary: 69 mm, normal 147 mmJFebruary: 216 mm, normal 124 mmFMarch: 82 mm, normal 112 mmMApril: 66 mm, normal 71 mmAMay: 44 mm, normal 36 mmMJune: 19 mm, normal 27 mmJJuly: 38 mm, normal 35 mmJAugust: 41 mm, normal 42 mmASeptember: 108 mm, normal 68 mmSOctober: 65 mm, normal 113 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November146 mm, normal 130 mm
December185 mm, normal 146 mm
January69 mm, normal 147 mm
February216 mm, normal 124 mm
March82 mm, normal 112 mm
April66 mm, normal 71 mm
May44 mm, normal 36 mm
June19 mm, normal 27 mm
July38 mm, normal 35 mm
August41 mm, normal 42 mm
September108 mm, normal 68 mm
October65 mm, normal 113 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 1,097 mm (+4% on the normal)1992: 891 mm (-15% on the normal)1993: 897 mm (-15% on the normal)1994: 890 mm (-15% on the normal)1995: 1,353 mm (+29% on the normal)1996: 1,262 mm (+20% on the normal)1997: 1,215 mm (+15% on the normal)1998: 973 mm (-8% on the normal)1999: 1,210 mm (+15% on the normal)2000: 1,279 mm (+22% on the normal)2001: 1,226 mm (+16% on the normal)2002: 1,097 mm (+4% on the normal)2003: 848 mm (-19% on the normal)2004: 1,039 mm (-1% on the normal)2005: 1,091 mm (+4% on the normal)2006: 1,255 mm (+19% on the normal)2007: 896 mm (-15% on the normal)2008: 904 mm (-14% on the normal)2009: 1,043 mm (-1% on the normal)2010: 931 mm (-12% on the normal)2011: 1,086 mm (+3% on the normal)2012: 1,134 mm (+8% on the normal)2013: 1,091 mm (+4% on the normal)2014: 903 mm (-14% on the normal)2015: 866 mm (-18% on the normal)2016: 1,083 mm (+3% on the normal)2017: 1,136 mm (+8% on the normal)2018: 862 mm (-18% on the normal)2019: 1,016 mm (-3% on the normal)2020: 1,003 mm (-5% on the normal)2021: 1,306 mm (+24% on the normal)2022: 1,232 mm (+17% on the normal)2023: 1,121 mm (+7% on the normal)2024: 934 mm (-11% on the normal)2025: 1,255 mm (+19% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (1,052 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
19911,097 mm (+4% on the normal)
1992891 mm (-15% on the normal)
1993897 mm (-15% on the normal)
1994890 mm (-15% on the normal)
19951,353 mm (+29% on the normal)
19961,262 mm (+20% on the normal)
19971,215 mm (+15% on the normal)
1998973 mm (-8% on the normal)
19991,210 mm (+15% on the normal)
20001,279 mm (+22% on the normal)
20011,226 mm (+16% on the normal)
20021,097 mm (+4% on the normal)
2003848 mm (-19% on the normal)
20041,039 mm (-1% on the normal)
20051,091 mm (+4% on the normal)
20061,255 mm (+19% on the normal)
2007896 mm (-15% on the normal)
2008904 mm (-14% on the normal)
20091,043 mm (-1% on the normal)
2010931 mm (-12% on the normal)
20111,086 mm (+3% on the normal)
20121,134 mm (+8% on the normal)
20131,091 mm (+4% on the normal)
2014903 mm (-14% on the normal)
2015866 mm (-18% on the normal)
20161,083 mm (+3% on the normal)
20171,136 mm (+8% on the normal)
2018862 mm (-18% on the normal)
20191,016 mm (-3% on the normal)
20201,003 mm (-5% on the normal)
20211,306 mm (+24% on the normal)
20221,232 mm (+17% on the normal)
20231,121 mm (+7% on the normal)
2024934 mm (-11% on the normal)
20251,255 mm (+19% on the normal)

Wettest: 1995 (1,353 mm). Driest: 2003 (848 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.0 °C in January 2025.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm147124112713627354268113130146
Mean °C20.420.619.617.214.712.111.913.815.816.818.019.5

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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