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Weather in Ward 21, The Msunduzi

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 30.9 °C, 49 mm of rain; a normal November has 135 mm. Coldest night 14.6 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
123.115.821.8
220.814.611.2
318.915.39.8
424.316.30.5
530.916.65.6

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 163 mm, normal 135 mmNDecember: 201 mm, normal 155 mmDJanuary: 74 mm, normal 158 mmJFebruary: 238 mm, normal 133 mmFMarch: 94 mm, normal 119 mmMApril: 75 mm, normal 74 mmAMay: 46 mm, normal 37 mmMJune: 20 mm, normal 29 mmJJuly: 38 mm, normal 35 mmJAugust: 41 mm, normal 44 mmASeptember: 115 mm, normal 68 mmSOctober: 65 mm, normal 117 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November163 mm, normal 135 mm
December201 mm, normal 155 mm
January74 mm, normal 158 mm
February238 mm, normal 133 mm
March94 mm, normal 119 mm
April75 mm, normal 74 mm
May46 mm, normal 37 mm
June20 mm, normal 29 mm
July38 mm, normal 35 mm
August41 mm, normal 44 mm
September115 mm, normal 68 mm
October65 mm, normal 117 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 1,166 mm (+6% on the normal)1992: 938 mm (-15% on the normal)1993: 931 mm (-16% on the normal)1994: 958 mm (-13% on the normal)1995: 1,429 mm (+29% on the normal)1996: 1,316 mm (+19% on the normal)1997: 1,276 mm (+15% on the normal)1998: 1,019 mm (-8% on the normal)1999: 1,245 mm (+13% on the normal)2000: 1,334 mm (+21% on the normal)2001: 1,309 mm (+18% on the normal)2002: 1,166 mm (+6% on the normal)2003: 888 mm (-20% on the normal)2004: 1,105 mm (-0% on the normal)2005: 1,155 mm (+5% on the normal)2006: 1,309 mm (+18% on the normal)2007: 938 mm (-15% on the normal)2008: 963 mm (-13% on the normal)2009: 1,070 mm (-3% on the normal)2010: 984 mm (-11% on the normal)2011: 1,125 mm (+2% on the normal)2012: 1,190 mm (+8% on the normal)2013: 1,150 mm (+4% on the normal)2014: 961 mm (-13% on the normal)2015: 920 mm (-17% on the normal)2016: 1,126 mm (+2% on the normal)2017: 1,173 mm (+6% on the normal)2018: 917 mm (-17% on the normal)2019: 1,032 mm (-7% on the normal)2020: 1,064 mm (-4% on the normal)2021: 1,383 mm (+25% on the normal)2022: 1,300 mm (+18% on the normal)2023: 1,165 mm (+5% on the normal)2024: 968 mm (-12% on the normal)2025: 1,331 mm (+20% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (1,105 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
19911,166 mm (+6% on the normal)
1992938 mm (-15% on the normal)
1993931 mm (-16% on the normal)
1994958 mm (-13% on the normal)
19951,429 mm (+29% on the normal)
19961,316 mm (+19% on the normal)
19971,276 mm (+15% on the normal)
19981,019 mm (-8% on the normal)
19991,245 mm (+13% on the normal)
20001,334 mm (+21% on the normal)
20011,309 mm (+18% on the normal)
20021,166 mm (+6% on the normal)
2003888 mm (-20% on the normal)
20041,105 mm (-0% on the normal)
20051,155 mm (+5% on the normal)
20061,309 mm (+18% on the normal)
2007938 mm (-15% on the normal)
2008963 mm (-13% on the normal)
20091,070 mm (-3% on the normal)
2010984 mm (-11% on the normal)
20111,125 mm (+2% on the normal)
20121,190 mm (+8% on the normal)
20131,150 mm (+4% on the normal)
2014961 mm (-13% on the normal)
2015920 mm (-17% on the normal)
20161,126 mm (+2% on the normal)
20171,173 mm (+6% on the normal)
2018917 mm (-17% on the normal)
20191,032 mm (-7% on the normal)
20201,064 mm (-4% on the normal)
20211,383 mm (+25% on the normal)
20221,300 mm (+18% on the normal)
20231,165 mm (+5% on the normal)
2024968 mm (-12% on the normal)
20251,331 mm (+20% on the normal)

Wettest: 1995 (1,429 mm). Driest: 2003 (888 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 36.3 °C in January 2025.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm158133119743729354468117135155
Mean °C19.619.718.716.313.911.311.113.015.216.117.318.8

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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