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Weather in Ward 38, The Msunduzi
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 32.4 °C, 45 mm of rain; a normal November has 128 mm. Coldest night 15.8 °C on 1 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24.9 | 15.8 | 18.4 |
| 2 | 21.6 | 15.9 | 9.2 |
| 3 | 20.2 | 16.6 | 11.7 |
| 4 | 24.4 | 17.5 | 1.1 |
| 5 | 32.4 | 17.0 | 4.8 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 130 mm, normal 128 mm |
| December | 177 mm, normal 142 mm |
| January | 69 mm, normal 144 mm |
| February | 197 mm, normal 122 mm |
| March | 77 mm, normal 108 mm |
| April | 64 mm, normal 67 mm |
| May | 43 mm, normal 35 mm |
| June | 17 mm, normal 26 mm |
| July | 36 mm, normal 34 mm |
| August | 39 mm, normal 40 mm |
| September | 103 mm, normal 68 mm |
| October | 61 mm, normal 109 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,070 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 885 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 885 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 843 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,290 mm (+26% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,262 mm (+23% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,148 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 947 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 1,158 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,230 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,176 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 1,078 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 825 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 1,029 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 1,071 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,246 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 858 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 848 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,034 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 906 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,057 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,106 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,052 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 849 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 858 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 1,034 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,116 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 850 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 1,005 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 967 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,240 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,168 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,081 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 895 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,178 mm (+15% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1995 (1,290 mm). Driest: 2003 (825 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.5 °C in January 2025.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 144 | 122 | 108 | 67 | 35 | 26 | 34 | 40 | 68 | 109 | 128 | 142 |
| Mean °C | 20.6 | 20.8 | 19.9 | 17.5 | 15.1 | 12.5 | 12.3 | 14.2 | 16.2 | 17.1 | 18.3 | 19.8 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.