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Weather in Ward 40, The Msunduzi
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 30.8 °C, 48 mm of rain; a normal November has 137 mm. Coldest night 14.5 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23.3 | 16.0 | 23.1 |
| 2 | 21.7 | 14.5 | 10.4 |
| 3 | 19.6 | 15.3 | 9.5 |
| 4 | 24.5 | 15.8 | 0.4 |
| 5 | 30.8 | 17.1 | 5.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 166 mm, normal 137 mm |
| December | 208 mm, normal 159 mm |
| January | 78 mm, normal 164 mm |
| February | 243 mm, normal 138 mm |
| March | 100 mm, normal 120 mm |
| April | 81 mm, normal 74 mm |
| May | 46 mm, normal 37 mm |
| June | 20 mm, normal 28 mm |
| July | 38 mm, normal 34 mm |
| August | 40 mm, normal 44 mm |
| September | 117 mm, normal 66 mm |
| October | 62 mm, normal 117 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,195 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 960 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 945 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 973 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,441 mm (+29% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,352 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,272 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,035 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 1,218 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,329 mm (+19% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,326 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 1,196 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 899 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 1,136 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 1,186 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,353 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 939 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 964 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,078 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,001 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,122 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,213 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,165 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 962 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 951 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 1,120 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,180 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 943 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 1,041 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 1,089 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,400 mm (+25% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,310 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,174 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 968 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,337 mm (+19% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1995 (1,441 mm). Driest: 2003 (899 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 36.0 °C in January 2025.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 164 | 138 | 120 | 74 | 37 | 28 | 34 | 44 | 66 | 117 | 137 | 159 |
| Mean °C | 19.6 | 19.8 | 18.7 | 16.3 | 13.8 | 11.2 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 15.2 | 16.2 | 17.4 | 18.8 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.