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Weather in Ward 41, The Msunduzi

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.6 °C, 48 mm of rain; a normal November has 132 mm. Coldest night 15.1 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
123.615.620.4
220.815.111.0
319.115.810.4
424.317.00.7
531.616.35.7

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 153 mm, normal 132 mmNDecember: 191 mm, normal 150 mmDJanuary: 71 mm, normal 152 mmJFebruary: 226 mm, normal 128 mmFMarch: 87 mm, normal 115 mmMApril: 70 mm, normal 72 mmAMay: 45 mm, normal 37 mmMJune: 19 mm, normal 28 mmJJuly: 38 mm, normal 35 mmJAugust: 41 mm, normal 43 mmASeptember: 111 mm, normal 68 mmSOctober: 65 mm, normal 115 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November153 mm, normal 132 mm
December191 mm, normal 150 mm
January71 mm, normal 152 mm
February226 mm, normal 128 mm
March87 mm, normal 115 mm
April70 mm, normal 72 mm
May45 mm, normal 37 mm
June19 mm, normal 28 mm
July38 mm, normal 35 mm
August41 mm, normal 43 mm
September111 mm, normal 68 mm
October65 mm, normal 115 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 1,124 mm (+5% on the normal)1992: 909 mm (-15% on the normal)1993: 911 mm (-15% on the normal)1994: 918 mm (-15% on the normal)1995: 1,384 mm (+29% on the normal)1996: 1,283 mm (+19% on the normal)1997: 1,241 mm (+16% on the normal)1998: 991 mm (-8% on the normal)1999: 1,226 mm (+14% on the normal)2000: 1,302 mm (+21% on the normal)2001: 1,260 mm (+17% on the normal)2002: 1,124 mm (+5% on the normal)2003: 864 mm (-20% on the normal)2004: 1,065 mm (-1% on the normal)2005: 1,116 mm (+4% on the normal)2006: 1,275 mm (+19% on the normal)2007: 914 mm (-15% on the normal)2008: 929 mm (-13% on the normal)2009: 1,054 mm (-2% on the normal)2010: 952 mm (-11% on the normal)2011: 1,102 mm (+3% on the normal)2012: 1,157 mm (+8% on the normal)2013: 1,115 mm (+4% on the normal)2014: 927 mm (-14% on the normal)2015: 887 mm (-17% on the normal)2016: 1,101 mm (+3% on the normal)2017: 1,151 mm (+7% on the normal)2018: 884 mm (-18% on the normal)2019: 1,021 mm (-5% on the normal)2020: 1,027 mm (-4% on the normal)2021: 1,337 mm (+25% on the normal)2022: 1,260 mm (+17% on the normal)2023: 1,139 mm (+6% on the normal)2024: 948 mm (-12% on the normal)2025: 1,286 mm (+20% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (1,074 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
19911,124 mm (+5% on the normal)
1992909 mm (-15% on the normal)
1993911 mm (-15% on the normal)
1994918 mm (-15% on the normal)
19951,384 mm (+29% on the normal)
19961,283 mm (+19% on the normal)
19971,241 mm (+16% on the normal)
1998991 mm (-8% on the normal)
19991,226 mm (+14% on the normal)
20001,302 mm (+21% on the normal)
20011,260 mm (+17% on the normal)
20021,124 mm (+5% on the normal)
2003864 mm (-20% on the normal)
20041,065 mm (-1% on the normal)
20051,116 mm (+4% on the normal)
20061,275 mm (+19% on the normal)
2007914 mm (-15% on the normal)
2008929 mm (-13% on the normal)
20091,054 mm (-2% on the normal)
2010952 mm (-11% on the normal)
20111,102 mm (+3% on the normal)
20121,157 mm (+8% on the normal)
20131,115 mm (+4% on the normal)
2014927 mm (-14% on the normal)
2015887 mm (-17% on the normal)
20161,101 mm (+3% on the normal)
20171,151 mm (+7% on the normal)
2018884 mm (-18% on the normal)
20191,021 mm (-5% on the normal)
20201,027 mm (-4% on the normal)
20211,337 mm (+25% on the normal)
20221,260 mm (+17% on the normal)
20231,139 mm (+6% on the normal)
2024948 mm (-12% on the normal)
20251,286 mm (+20% on the normal)

Wettest: 1995 (1,384 mm). Driest: 2003 (864 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.3 °C in January 2025.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm152128115723728354368115132150
Mean °C20.020.219.216.814.311.711.513.515.516.517.719.2

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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