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Weather in Ward 4, Mkhambathini

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.4 °C, 42 mm of rain; a normal November has 116 mm. Coldest night 16.0 °C on 1 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 8 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
124.416.06.7
219.816.214.5
318.816.614.5
423.718.10.9
531.416.25.3

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 112 mm, normal 116 mmNDecember: 148 mm, normal 126 mmDJanuary: 57 mm, normal 124 mmJFebruary: 148 mm, normal 109 mmFMarch: 69 mm, normal 101 mmMApril: 47 mm, normal 67 mmAMay: 44 mm, normal 34 mmMJune: 12 mm, normal 23 mmJJuly: 49 mm, normal 33 mmJAugust: 41 mm, normal 35 mmASeptember: 100 mm, normal 62 mmSOctober: 66 mm, normal 101 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November112 mm, normal 116 mm
December148 mm, normal 126 mm
January57 mm, normal 124 mm
February148 mm, normal 109 mm
March69 mm, normal 101 mm
April47 mm, normal 67 mm
May44 mm, normal 34 mm
June12 mm, normal 23 mm
July49 mm, normal 33 mm
August41 mm, normal 35 mm
September100 mm, normal 62 mm
October66 mm, normal 101 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 936 mm (+1% on the normal)1992: 688 mm (-26% on the normal)1993: 851 mm (-9% on the normal)1994: 788 mm (-15% on the normal)1995: 1,187 mm (+28% on the normal)1996: 1,118 mm (+20% on the normal)1997: 1,136 mm (+22% on the normal)1998: 829 mm (-11% on the normal)1999: 1,153 mm (+24% on the normal)2000: 1,189 mm (+28% on the normal)2001: 1,038 mm (+12% on the normal)2002: 903 mm (-3% on the normal)2003: 744 mm (-20% on the normal)2004: 893 mm (-4% on the normal)2005: 915 mm (-2% on the normal)2006: 1,129 mm (+21% on the normal)2007: 826 mm (-11% on the normal)2008: 793 mm (-15% on the normal)2009: 938 mm (+1% on the normal)2010: 781 mm (-16% on the normal)2011: 992 mm (+7% on the normal)2012: 1,052 mm (+13% on the normal)2013: 942 mm (+1% on the normal)2014: 756 mm (-19% on the normal)2015: 728 mm (-22% on the normal)2016: 945 mm (+2% on the normal)2017: 1,080 mm (+16% on the normal)2018: 731 mm (-21% on the normal)2019: 990 mm (+6% on the normal)2020: 877 mm (-6% on the normal)2021: 1,119 mm (+20% on the normal)2022: 1,136 mm (+22% on the normal)2023: 1,016 mm (+9% on the normal)2024: 847 mm (-9% on the normal)2025: 1,118 mm (+20% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (931 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991936 mm (+1% on the normal)
1992688 mm (-26% on the normal)
1993851 mm (-9% on the normal)
1994788 mm (-15% on the normal)
19951,187 mm (+28% on the normal)
19961,118 mm (+20% on the normal)
19971,136 mm (+22% on the normal)
1998829 mm (-11% on the normal)
19991,153 mm (+24% on the normal)
20001,189 mm (+28% on the normal)
20011,038 mm (+12% on the normal)
2002903 mm (-3% on the normal)
2003744 mm (-20% on the normal)
2004893 mm (-4% on the normal)
2005915 mm (-2% on the normal)
20061,129 mm (+21% on the normal)
2007826 mm (-11% on the normal)
2008793 mm (-15% on the normal)
2009938 mm (+1% on the normal)
2010781 mm (-16% on the normal)
2011992 mm (+7% on the normal)
20121,052 mm (+13% on the normal)
2013942 mm (+1% on the normal)
2014756 mm (-19% on the normal)
2015728 mm (-22% on the normal)
2016945 mm (+2% on the normal)
20171,080 mm (+16% on the normal)
2018731 mm (-21% on the normal)
2019990 mm (+6% on the normal)
2020877 mm (-6% on the normal)
20211,119 mm (+20% on the normal)
20221,136 mm (+22% on the normal)
20231,016 mm (+9% on the normal)
2024847 mm (-9% on the normal)
20251,118 mm (+20% on the normal)

Wettest: 2000 (1,189 mm). Driest: 1992 (688 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.0 °C in January 2025.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm124109101673423333562101116126
Mean °C20.921.120.217.915.813.313.014.616.317.218.420.0

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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