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Weather in Ward 15, Alfred Duma
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.6 °C, 65 mm of rain; a normal November has 153 mm. Coldest night 15.1 °C on 1 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29.4 | 15.1 | 14.1 |
| 2 | 26.5 | 16.1 | 11.4 |
| 3 | 26.8 | 16.5 | 17.2 |
| 4 | 31.6 | 15.5 | 1.4 |
| 5 | 31.4 | 19.4 | 21.1 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 201 mm, normal 153 mm |
| December | 278 mm, normal 200 mm |
| January | 97 mm, normal 191 mm |
| February | 181 mm, normal 158 mm |
| March | 155 mm, normal 129 mm |
| April | 61 mm, normal 64 mm |
| May | 29 mm, normal 24 mm |
| June | 20 mm, normal 16 mm |
| July | 11 mm, normal 18 mm |
| August | 34 mm, normal 31 mm |
| September | 135 mm, normal 45 mm |
| October | 36 mm, normal 112 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,136 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 966 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 1,178 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 1,096 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,204 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,555 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,477 mm (+29% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,330 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 1,119 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,302 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,211 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 1,107 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 941 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 1,097 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 1,483 mm (+30% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,659 mm (+45% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 857 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 796 mm (-30% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,279 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,233 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 969 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,272 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,072 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 1,000 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 793 mm (-31% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 1,007 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,072 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 939 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 921 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 1,191 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,296 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,118 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,241 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 1,059 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,582 mm (+39% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2006 (1,659 mm). Driest: 2015 (793 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.5 °C in December 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 191 | 158 | 129 | 64 | 24 | 16 | 18 | 31 | 45 | 112 | 153 | 200 |
| Mean °C | 21.1 | 21.0 | 19.6 | 16.9 | 13.9 | 11.2 | 11.0 | 13.7 | 17.0 | 18.3 | 19.4 | 20.7 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.