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Weather in Ward 16, Alfred Duma
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.1 °C, 71 mm of rain; a normal November has 155 mm. Coldest night 14.8 °C on 1 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29.1 | 14.8 | 16.0 |
| 2 | 26.1 | 15.9 | 14.0 |
| 3 | 26.6 | 16.3 | 17.2 |
| 4 | 31.1 | 15.4 | 1.1 |
| 5 | 30.9 | 19.2 | 22.3 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 206 mm, normal 155 mm |
| December | 269 mm, normal 202 mm |
| January | 100 mm, normal 194 mm |
| February | 174 mm, normal 158 mm |
| March | 159 mm, normal 128 mm |
| April | 60 mm, normal 64 mm |
| May | 28 mm, normal 23 mm |
| June | 18 mm, normal 15 mm |
| July | 11 mm, normal 18 mm |
| August | 37 mm, normal 31 mm |
| September | 140 mm, normal 46 mm |
| October | 37 mm, normal 114 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,151 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 985 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 1,197 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 1,114 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,206 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,527 mm (+33% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,461 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,354 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 1,124 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,306 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,206 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 1,128 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 933 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 1,115 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 1,475 mm (+28% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,643 mm (+43% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 869 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 829 mm (-28% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,284 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,255 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 982 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,243 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,080 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 1,017 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 810 mm (-29% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 1,024 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,084 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 943 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 934 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 1,177 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,288 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,111 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,252 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 1,058 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,575 mm (+37% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2006 (1,643 mm). Driest: 2015 (810 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.1 °C in December 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 194 | 158 | 128 | 64 | 23 | 15 | 18 | 31 | 46 | 114 | 155 | 202 |
| Mean °C | 20.9 | 20.8 | 19.4 | 16.7 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 10.9 | 13.6 | 16.9 | 18.1 | 19.3 | 20.5 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.