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Weather in Ward 8, Inkosi Mtubatuba

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 33.5 °C, 8.3 mm of rain; a normal November has 86 mm. Coldest night 19.9 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 3 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
130.720.11.8
226.319.92.4
327.821.62.8
431.121.80.0
533.522.31.3

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 122 mm, normal 86 mmNDecember: 109 mm, normal 88 mmDJanuary: 146 mm, normal 102 mmJFebruary: 20 mm, normal 94 mmFMarch: 126 mm, normal 94 mmMApril: 33 mm, normal 61 mmAMay: 26 mm, normal 37 mmMJune: 24 mm, normal 27 mmJJuly: 25 mm, normal 32 mmJAugust: 21 mm, normal 29 mmASeptember: 94 mm, normal 45 mmSOctober: 40 mm, normal 71 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November122 mm, normal 86 mm
December109 mm, normal 88 mm
January146 mm, normal 102 mm
February20 mm, normal 94 mm
March126 mm, normal 94 mm
April33 mm, normal 61 mm
May26 mm, normal 37 mm
June24 mm, normal 27 mm
July25 mm, normal 32 mm
August21 mm, normal 29 mm
September94 mm, normal 45 mm
October40 mm, normal 71 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 693 mm (-10% on the normal)1992: 418 mm (-46% on the normal)1993: 700 mm (-9% on the normal)1994: 621 mm (-19% on the normal)1995: 1,106 mm (+44% on the normal)1996: 952 mm (+24% on the normal)1997: 1,029 mm (+34% on the normal)1998: 768 mm (+0% on the normal)1999: 992 mm (+29% on the normal)2000: 1,115 mm (+45% on the normal)2001: 885 mm (+15% on the normal)2002: 599 mm (-22% on the normal)2003: 594 mm (-23% on the normal)2004: 720 mm (-6% on the normal)2005: 717 mm (-7% on the normal)2006: 867 mm (+13% on the normal)2007: 571 mm (-26% on the normal)2008: 556 mm (-28% on the normal)2009: 683 mm (-11% on the normal)2010: 675 mm (-12% on the normal)2011: 779 mm (+1% on the normal)2012: 874 mm (+14% on the normal)2013: 890 mm (+16% on the normal)2014: 659 mm (-14% on the normal)2015: 580 mm (-24% on the normal)2016: 705 mm (-8% on the normal)2017: 941 mm (+23% on the normal)2018: 722 mm (-6% on the normal)2019: 882 mm (+15% on the normal)2020: 735 mm (-4% on the normal)2021: 1,161 mm (+51% on the normal)2022: 777 mm (+1% on the normal)2023: 958 mm (+25% on the normal)2024: 686 mm (-11% on the normal)2025: 1,023 mm (+33% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (768 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991693 mm (-10% on the normal)
1992418 mm (-46% on the normal)
1993700 mm (-9% on the normal)
1994621 mm (-19% on the normal)
19951,106 mm (+44% on the normal)
1996952 mm (+24% on the normal)
19971,029 mm (+34% on the normal)
1998768 mm (+0% on the normal)
1999992 mm (+29% on the normal)
20001,115 mm (+45% on the normal)
2001885 mm (+15% on the normal)
2002599 mm (-22% on the normal)
2003594 mm (-23% on the normal)
2004720 mm (-6% on the normal)
2005717 mm (-7% on the normal)
2006867 mm (+13% on the normal)
2007571 mm (-26% on the normal)
2008556 mm (-28% on the normal)
2009683 mm (-11% on the normal)
2010675 mm (-12% on the normal)
2011779 mm (+1% on the normal)
2012874 mm (+14% on the normal)
2013890 mm (+16% on the normal)
2014659 mm (-14% on the normal)
2015580 mm (-24% on the normal)
2016705 mm (-8% on the normal)
2017941 mm (+23% on the normal)
2018722 mm (-6% on the normal)
2019882 mm (+15% on the normal)
2020735 mm (-4% on the normal)
20211,161 mm (+51% on the normal)
2022777 mm (+1% on the normal)
2023958 mm (+25% on the normal)
2024686 mm (-11% on the normal)
20251,023 mm (+33% on the normal)

Wettest: 2021 (1,161 mm). Driest: 1992 (418 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.7 °C in November 2023.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm1029494613727322945718688
Mean °C25.025.024.222.220.218.217.819.020.521.222.624.2

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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