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Weather in Ward 10, Inkosi Mtubatuba

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 34.7 °C, 8.6 mm of rain; a normal November has 83 mm. Coldest night 19.6 °C on 1 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
131.419.62.0
226.719.82.6
328.221.42.8
431.821.40.0
534.722.21.2

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 122 mm, normal 83 mmNDecember: 109 mm, normal 87 mmDJanuary: 145 mm, normal 99 mmJFebruary: 22 mm, normal 90 mmFMarch: 114 mm, normal 87 mmMApril: 30 mm, normal 53 mmAMay: 24 mm, normal 31 mmMJune: 20 mm, normal 22 mmJJuly: 20 mm, normal 26 mmJAugust: 19 mm, normal 26 mmASeptember: 82 mm, normal 40 mmSOctober: 36 mm, normal 67 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November122 mm, normal 83 mm
December109 mm, normal 87 mm
January145 mm, normal 99 mm
February22 mm, normal 90 mm
March114 mm, normal 87 mm
April30 mm, normal 53 mm
May24 mm, normal 31 mm
June20 mm, normal 22 mm
July20 mm, normal 26 mm
August19 mm, normal 26 mm
September82 mm, normal 40 mm
October36 mm, normal 67 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 635 mm (-11% on the normal)1992: 388 mm (-45% on the normal)1993: 683 mm (-4% on the normal)1994: 583 mm (-18% on the normal)1995: 1,004 mm (+41% on the normal)1996: 878 mm (+24% on the normal)1997: 929 mm (+31% on the normal)1998: 738 mm (+4% on the normal)1999: 970 mm (+37% on the normal)2000: 1,058 mm (+49% on the normal)2001: 828 mm (+17% on the normal)2002: 547 mm (-23% on the normal)2003: 535 mm (-25% on the normal)2004: 662 mm (-7% on the normal)2005: 656 mm (-8% on the normal)2006: 794 mm (+12% on the normal)2007: 533 mm (-25% on the normal)2008: 494 mm (-30% on the normal)2009: 636 mm (-10% on the normal)2010: 635 mm (-11% on the normal)2011: 716 mm (+1% on the normal)2012: 818 mm (+15% on the normal)2013: 847 mm (+19% on the normal)2014: 610 mm (-14% on the normal)2015: 529 mm (-26% on the normal)2016: 634 mm (-11% on the normal)2017: 834 mm (+17% on the normal)2018: 672 mm (-5% on the normal)2019: 772 mm (+9% on the normal)2020: 691 mm (-3% on the normal)2021: 1,041 mm (+47% on the normal)2022: 743 mm (+5% on the normal)2023: 869 mm (+22% on the normal)2024: 650 mm (-9% on the normal)2025: 934 mm (+31% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (710 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991635 mm (-11% on the normal)
1992388 mm (-45% on the normal)
1993683 mm (-4% on the normal)
1994583 mm (-18% on the normal)
19951,004 mm (+41% on the normal)
1996878 mm (+24% on the normal)
1997929 mm (+31% on the normal)
1998738 mm (+4% on the normal)
1999970 mm (+37% on the normal)
20001,058 mm (+49% on the normal)
2001828 mm (+17% on the normal)
2002547 mm (-23% on the normal)
2003535 mm (-25% on the normal)
2004662 mm (-7% on the normal)
2005656 mm (-8% on the normal)
2006794 mm (+12% on the normal)
2007533 mm (-25% on the normal)
2008494 mm (-30% on the normal)
2009636 mm (-10% on the normal)
2010635 mm (-11% on the normal)
2011716 mm (+1% on the normal)
2012818 mm (+15% on the normal)
2013847 mm (+19% on the normal)
2014610 mm (-14% on the normal)
2015529 mm (-26% on the normal)
2016634 mm (-11% on the normal)
2017834 mm (+17% on the normal)
2018672 mm (-5% on the normal)
2019772 mm (+9% on the normal)
2020691 mm (-3% on the normal)
20211,041 mm (+47% on the normal)
2022743 mm (+5% on the normal)
2023869 mm (+22% on the normal)
2024650 mm (-9% on the normal)
2025934 mm (+31% on the normal)

Wettest: 2000 (1,058 mm). Driest: 1992 (388 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 40.0 °C in March 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm999087533122262640678387
Mean °C25.025.024.222.120.017.917.518.920.521.222.624.2

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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