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Weather in Ward 15, Inkosi Mtubatuba
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 34.1 °C, 8.5 mm of rain; a normal November has 86 mm. Coldest night 19.8 °C on 1 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31.1 | 19.8 | 1.7 |
| 2 | 26.5 | 19.8 | 3.1 |
| 3 | 28.0 | 21.6 | 2.7 |
| 4 | 31.5 | 21.5 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 34.1 | 22.2 | 1.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 122 mm, normal 86 mm |
| December | 116 mm, normal 88 mm |
| January | 154 mm, normal 99 mm |
| February | 19 mm, normal 92 mm |
| March | 126 mm, normal 91 mm |
| April | 31 mm, normal 55 mm |
| May | 26 mm, normal 32 mm |
| June | 23 mm, normal 23 mm |
| July | 19 mm, normal 27 mm |
| August | 19 mm, normal 27 mm |
| September | 85 mm, normal 41 mm |
| October | 39 mm, normal 69 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 657 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 383 mm (-47% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 693 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 595 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,061 mm (+46% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 892 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 966 mm (+33% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 764 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 974 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,099 mm (+51% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 868 mm (+19% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 546 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 560 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 678 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 675 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 839 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 538 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 508 mm (-30% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 656 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 644 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 728 mm (-0% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 849 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 837 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 636 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 538 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 640 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 843 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 683 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 792 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 726 mm (-0% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,088 mm (+49% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 759 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 885 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 689 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 962 mm (+32% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,099 mm). Driest: 1992 (383 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.1 °C in November 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 99 | 92 | 91 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 27 | 27 | 41 | 69 | 86 | 88 |
| Mean °C | 24.9 | 25.0 | 24.1 | 22.1 | 20.1 | 18.0 | 17.6 | 18.9 | 20.5 | 21.2 | 22.6 | 24.2 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.