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Weather in Ward 16, Inkosi Mtubatuba
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 33.5 °C, 8.9 mm of rain; a normal November has 88 mm. Coldest night 19.5 °C on 1 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 7 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30.7 | 19.5 | 1.7 |
| 2 | 26.0 | 19.6 | 3.6 |
| 3 | 27.6 | 21.4 | 2.6 |
| 4 | 31.0 | 21.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 33.5 | 22.1 | 0.9 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 126 mm, normal 88 mm |
| December | 124 mm, normal 90 mm |
| January | 170 mm, normal 101 mm |
| February | 21 mm, normal 92 mm |
| March | 134 mm, normal 91 mm |
| April | 32 mm, normal 53 mm |
| May | 29 mm, normal 30 mm |
| June | 24 mm, normal 22 mm |
| July | 17 mm, normal 24 mm |
| August | 19 mm, normal 26 mm |
| September | 85 mm, normal 41 mm |
| October | 39 mm, normal 71 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 661 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 377 mm (-48% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 701 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 593 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,048 mm (+44% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 877 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 963 mm (+32% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 788 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 973 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,115 mm (+53% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 893 mm (+23% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 529 mm (-27% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 560 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 670 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 676 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 856 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 537 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 500 mm (-31% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 667 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 647 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 731 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 873 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 819 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 634 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 531 mm (-27% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 633 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 813 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 698 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 735 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 730 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,078 mm (+48% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 773 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 884 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 716 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 959 mm (+32% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,115 mm). Driest: 1992 (377 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.6 °C in November 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 101 | 92 | 91 | 53 | 30 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 41 | 71 | 88 | 90 |
| Mean °C | 24.7 | 24.7 | 23.9 | 21.9 | 19.9 | 17.8 | 17.4 | 18.8 | 20.4 | 21.0 | 22.4 | 23.9 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.