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Weather in Ward 17, Inkosi Mtubatuba

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.9 °C, 9.0 mm of rain; a normal November has 90 mm. Coldest night 20.1 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
129.720.41.5
225.720.13.3
327.221.83.1
430.021.90.1
531.922.51.0

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 122 mm, normal 90 mmNDecember: 118 mm, normal 91 mmDJanuary: 159 mm, normal 102 mmJFebruary: 19 mm, normal 96 mmFMarch: 146 mm, normal 98 mmMApril: 35 mm, normal 64 mmAMay: 32 mm, normal 39 mmMJune: 30 mm, normal 29 mmJJuly: 25 mm, normal 32 mmJAugust: 21 mm, normal 31 mmASeptember: 92 mm, normal 46 mmSOctober: 42 mm, normal 73 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November122 mm, normal 90 mm
December118 mm, normal 91 mm
January159 mm, normal 102 mm
February19 mm, normal 96 mm
March146 mm, normal 98 mm
April35 mm, normal 64 mm
May32 mm, normal 39 mm
June30 mm, normal 29 mm
July25 mm, normal 32 mm
August21 mm, normal 31 mm
September92 mm, normal 46 mm
October42 mm, normal 73 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 736 mm (-7% on the normal)1992: 409 mm (-48% on the normal)1993: 733 mm (-7% on the normal)1994: 630 mm (-20% on the normal)1995: 1,162 mm (+47% on the normal)1996: 953 mm (+21% on the normal)1997: 1,076 mm (+36% on the normal)1998: 808 mm (+2% on the normal)1999: 994 mm (+26% on the normal)2000: 1,176 mm (+49% on the normal)2001: 938 mm (+19% on the normal)2002: 587 mm (-26% on the normal)2003: 627 mm (-21% on the normal)2004: 731 mm (-8% on the normal)2005: 740 mm (-6% on the normal)2006: 940 mm (+19% on the normal)2007: 594 mm (-25% on the normal)2008: 579 mm (-27% on the normal)2009: 724 mm (-8% on the normal)2010: 692 mm (-12% on the normal)2011: 791 mm (+0% on the normal)2012: 917 mm (+16% on the normal)2013: 880 mm (+11% on the normal)2014: 695 mm (-12% on the normal)2015: 584 mm (-26% on the normal)2016: 715 mm (-10% on the normal)2017: 915 mm (+16% on the normal)2018: 742 mm (-6% on the normal)2019: 861 mm (+9% on the normal)2020: 788 mm (-0% on the normal)2021: 1,189 mm (+50% on the normal)2022: 808 mm (+2% on the normal)2023: 978 mm (+24% on the normal)2024: 752 mm (-5% on the normal)2025: 1,040 mm (+32% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (791 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991736 mm (-7% on the normal)
1992409 mm (-48% on the normal)
1993733 mm (-7% on the normal)
1994630 mm (-20% on the normal)
19951,162 mm (+47% on the normal)
1996953 mm (+21% on the normal)
19971,076 mm (+36% on the normal)
1998808 mm (+2% on the normal)
1999994 mm (+26% on the normal)
20001,176 mm (+49% on the normal)
2001938 mm (+19% on the normal)
2002587 mm (-26% on the normal)
2003627 mm (-21% on the normal)
2004731 mm (-8% on the normal)
2005740 mm (-6% on the normal)
2006940 mm (+19% on the normal)
2007594 mm (-25% on the normal)
2008579 mm (-27% on the normal)
2009724 mm (-8% on the normal)
2010692 mm (-12% on the normal)
2011791 mm (+0% on the normal)
2012917 mm (+16% on the normal)
2013880 mm (+11% on the normal)
2014695 mm (-12% on the normal)
2015584 mm (-26% on the normal)
2016715 mm (-10% on the normal)
2017915 mm (+16% on the normal)
2018742 mm (-6% on the normal)
2019861 mm (+9% on the normal)
2020788 mm (-0% on the normal)
20211,189 mm (+50% on the normal)
2022808 mm (+2% on the normal)
2023978 mm (+24% on the normal)
2024752 mm (-5% on the normal)
20251,040 mm (+32% on the normal)

Wettest: 2021 (1,189 mm). Driest: 1992 (409 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 36.8 °C in November 2023.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm1029698643929323146739091
Mean °C24.824.924.222.320.418.518.019.120.521.222.524.0

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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