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Weather in Ward 4, Mfolozi
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 30.7 °C, 9.6 mm of rain; a normal November has 94 mm. Coldest night 20.4 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 6 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28.9 | 21.1 | 1.9 |
| 2 | 25.2 | 20.4 | 1.9 |
| 3 | 26.6 | 21.5 | 4.0 |
| 4 | 29.2 | 22.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 30.7 | 22.7 | 1.7 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 121 mm, normal 94 mm |
| December | 109 mm, normal 93 mm |
| January | 143 mm, normal 111 mm |
| February | 26 mm, normal 104 mm |
| March | 142 mm, normal 109 mm |
| April | 43 mm, normal 82 mm |
| May | 36 mm, normal 56 mm |
| June | 35 mm, normal 41 mm |
| July | 43 mm, normal 46 mm |
| August | 30 mm, normal 40 mm |
| September | 116 mm, normal 55 mm |
| October | 47 mm, normal 80 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 862 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 510 mm (-44% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 778 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 723 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,292 mm (+42% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,118 mm (+23% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,262 mm (+38% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 841 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 1,085 mm (+19% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,257 mm (+38% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,011 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 744 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 736 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 851 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 848 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,053 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 710 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 724 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 831 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 806 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 940 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 999 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,053 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 779 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 689 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 886 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,192 mm (+31% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 869 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 1,084 mm (+19% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 818 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,380 mm (+51% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 884 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,207 mm (+32% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 758 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,215 mm (+33% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2021 (1,380 mm). Driest: 1992 (510 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 35.9 °C in March 2026.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 111 | 104 | 109 | 82 | 56 | 41 | 46 | 40 | 55 | 80 | 94 | 93 |
| Mean °C | 24.9 | 25.0 | 24.3 | 22.5 | 20.8 | 18.9 | 18.4 | 19.3 | 20.5 | 21.2 | 22.5 | 24.0 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.