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Weather in Ward 15, Mfolozi

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 34.1 °C, 8.4 mm of rain; a normal November has 84 mm. Coldest night 19.9 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
130.920.02.1
226.419.91.9
327.821.32.9
431.521.70.0
534.122.21.5

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 121 mm, normal 84 mmNDecember: 101 mm, normal 88 mmDJanuary: 136 mm, normal 101 mmJFebruary: 22 mm, normal 93 mmFMarch: 116 mm, normal 91 mmMApril: 32 mm, normal 60 mmAMay: 24 mm, normal 37 mmMJune: 22 mm, normal 27 mmJJuly: 26 mm, normal 32 mmJAugust: 22 mm, normal 29 mmASeptember: 95 mm, normal 44 mmSOctober: 39 mm, normal 70 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November121 mm, normal 84 mm
December101 mm, normal 88 mm
January136 mm, normal 101 mm
February22 mm, normal 93 mm
March116 mm, normal 91 mm
April32 mm, normal 60 mm
May24 mm, normal 37 mm
June22 mm, normal 27 mm
July26 mm, normal 32 mm
August22 mm, normal 29 mm
September95 mm, normal 44 mm
October39 mm, normal 70 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 677 mm (-10% on the normal)1992: 431 mm (-43% on the normal)1993: 687 mm (-9% on the normal)1994: 613 mm (-19% on the normal)1995: 1,074 mm (+42% on the normal)1996: 950 mm (+26% on the normal)1997: 1,005 mm (+33% on the normal)1998: 742 mm (-2% on the normal)1999: 978 mm (+29% on the normal)2000: 1,081 mm (+43% on the normal)2001: 850 mm (+12% on the normal)2002: 611 mm (-19% on the normal)2003: 573 mm (-24% on the normal)2004: 713 mm (-6% on the normal)2005: 713 mm (-6% on the normal)2006: 830 mm (+10% on the normal)2007: 565 mm (-25% on the normal)2008: 550 mm (-27% on the normal)2009: 666 mm (-12% on the normal)2010: 668 mm (-12% on the normal)2011: 775 mm (+3% on the normal)2012: 850 mm (+12% on the normal)2013: 894 mm (+18% on the normal)2014: 634 mm (-16% on the normal)2015: 582 mm (-23% on the normal)2016: 710 mm (-6% on the normal)2017: 939 mm (+24% on the normal)2018: 720 mm (-5% on the normal)2019: 885 mm (+17% on the normal)2020: 713 mm (-6% on the normal)2021: 1,144 mm (+51% on the normal)2022: 768 mm (+2% on the normal)2023: 959 mm (+27% on the normal)2024: 653 mm (-14% on the normal)2025: 1,015 mm (+34% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (756 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991677 mm (-10% on the normal)
1992431 mm (-43% on the normal)
1993687 mm (-9% on the normal)
1994613 mm (-19% on the normal)
19951,074 mm (+42% on the normal)
1996950 mm (+26% on the normal)
19971,005 mm (+33% on the normal)
1998742 mm (-2% on the normal)
1999978 mm (+29% on the normal)
20001,081 mm (+43% on the normal)
2001850 mm (+12% on the normal)
2002611 mm (-19% on the normal)
2003573 mm (-24% on the normal)
2004713 mm (-6% on the normal)
2005713 mm (-6% on the normal)
2006830 mm (+10% on the normal)
2007565 mm (-25% on the normal)
2008550 mm (-27% on the normal)
2009666 mm (-12% on the normal)
2010668 mm (-12% on the normal)
2011775 mm (+3% on the normal)
2012850 mm (+12% on the normal)
2013894 mm (+18% on the normal)
2014634 mm (-16% on the normal)
2015582 mm (-23% on the normal)
2016710 mm (-6% on the normal)
2017939 mm (+24% on the normal)
2018720 mm (-5% on the normal)
2019885 mm (+17% on the normal)
2020713 mm (-6% on the normal)
20211,144 mm (+51% on the normal)
2022768 mm (+2% on the normal)
2023959 mm (+27% on the normal)
2024653 mm (-14% on the normal)
20251,015 mm (+34% on the normal)

Wettest: 2021 (1,144 mm). Driest: 1992 (431 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.7 °C in March 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm1019391603727322944708488
Mean °C25.025.024.222.220.118.017.618.920.521.222.624.2

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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