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Weather in Ward 16, Mfolozi

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 29.9 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 105 mm. Coldest night 20.7 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
127.921.42.1
224.520.72.7
326.121.84.1
428.622.60.1
529.922.62.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 119 mm, normal 105 mmNDecember: 126 mm, normal 97 mmDJanuary: 139 mm, normal 121 mmJFebruary: 31 mm, normal 109 mmFMarch: 118 mm, normal 116 mmMApril: 54 mm, normal 97 mmAMay: 42 mm, normal 71 mmMJune: 41 mm, normal 52 mmJJuly: 60 mm, normal 57 mmJAugust: 39 mm, normal 49 mmASeptember: 136 mm, normal 65 mmSOctober: 54 mm, normal 92 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November119 mm, normal 105 mm
December126 mm, normal 97 mm
January139 mm, normal 121 mm
February31 mm, normal 109 mm
March118 mm, normal 116 mm
April54 mm, normal 97 mm
May42 mm, normal 71 mm
June41 mm, normal 52 mm
July60 mm, normal 57 mm
August39 mm, normal 49 mm
September136 mm, normal 65 mm
October54 mm, normal 92 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 1,028 mm (-0% on the normal)1992: 596 mm (-42% on the normal)1993: 862 mm (-16% on the normal)1994: 844 mm (-18% on the normal)1995: 1,440 mm (+40% on the normal)1996: 1,247 mm (+21% on the normal)1997: 1,424 mm (+38% on the normal)1998: 918 mm (-11% on the normal)1999: 1,221 mm (+18% on the normal)2000: 1,373 mm (+33% on the normal)2001: 1,114 mm (+8% on the normal)2002: 901 mm (-13% on the normal)2003: 830 mm (-19% on the normal)2004: 973 mm (-6% on the normal)2005: 934 mm (-9% on the normal)2006: 1,165 mm (+13% on the normal)2007: 844 mm (-18% on the normal)2008: 861 mm (-16% on the normal)2009: 951 mm (-8% on the normal)2010: 915 mm (-11% on the normal)2011: 1,077 mm (+5% on the normal)2012: 1,101 mm (+7% on the normal)2013: 1,191 mm (+16% on the normal)2014: 830 mm (-19% on the normal)2015: 761 mm (-26% on the normal)2016: 1,014 mm (-2% on the normal)2017: 1,348 mm (+31% on the normal)2018: 1,006 mm (-2% on the normal)2019: 1,239 mm (+20% on the normal)2020: 904 mm (-12% on the normal)2021: 1,462 mm (+42% on the normal)2022: 969 mm (-6% on the normal)2023: 1,324 mm (+28% on the normal)2024: 794 mm (-23% on the normal)2025: 1,328 mm (+29% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (1,030 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
19911,028 mm (-0% on the normal)
1992596 mm (-42% on the normal)
1993862 mm (-16% on the normal)
1994844 mm (-18% on the normal)
19951,440 mm (+40% on the normal)
19961,247 mm (+21% on the normal)
19971,424 mm (+38% on the normal)
1998918 mm (-11% on the normal)
19991,221 mm (+18% on the normal)
20001,373 mm (+33% on the normal)
20011,114 mm (+8% on the normal)
2002901 mm (-13% on the normal)
2003830 mm (-19% on the normal)
2004973 mm (-6% on the normal)
2005934 mm (-9% on the normal)
20061,165 mm (+13% on the normal)
2007844 mm (-18% on the normal)
2008861 mm (-16% on the normal)
2009951 mm (-8% on the normal)
2010915 mm (-11% on the normal)
20111,077 mm (+5% on the normal)
20121,101 mm (+7% on the normal)
20131,191 mm (+16% on the normal)
2014830 mm (-19% on the normal)
2015761 mm (-26% on the normal)
20161,014 mm (-2% on the normal)
20171,348 mm (+31% on the normal)
20181,006 mm (-2% on the normal)
20191,239 mm (+20% on the normal)
2020904 mm (-12% on the normal)
20211,462 mm (+42% on the normal)
2022969 mm (-6% on the normal)
20231,324 mm (+28% on the normal)
2024794 mm (-23% on the normal)
20251,328 mm (+29% on the normal)

Wettest: 2021 (1,462 mm). Driest: 1992 (596 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 34.6 °C in March 2026.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm1211091169771525749659210597
Mean °C24.925.124.522.821.019.318.719.520.521.322.524.0

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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