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Weather in Ward 15, Mandeni

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 34.7 °C, 17 mm of rain; a normal November has 98 mm. Coldest night 18.7 °C on 1 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 16 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell, and 5 of them get exactly the same figures.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
127.918.73.8
224.319.62.2
325.420.49.6
426.920.30.1
534.720.01.7

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 92 mm, normal 98 mmNDecember: 107 mm, normal 97 mmDJanuary: 84 mm, normal 107 mmJFebruary: 63 mm, normal 98 mmFMarch: 71 mm, normal 92 mmMApril: 43 mm, normal 68 mmAMay: 44 mm, normal 44 mmMJune: 22 mm, normal 27 mmJJuly: 30 mm, normal 42 mmJAugust: 42 mm, normal 33 mmASeptember: 84 mm, normal 59 mmSOctober: 46 mm, normal 86 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November92 mm, normal 98 mm
December107 mm, normal 97 mm
January84 mm, normal 107 mm
February63 mm, normal 98 mm
March71 mm, normal 92 mm
April43 mm, normal 68 mm
May44 mm, normal 44 mm
June22 mm, normal 27 mm
July30 mm, normal 42 mm
August42 mm, normal 33 mm
September84 mm, normal 59 mm
October46 mm, normal 86 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 813 mm (-4% on the normal)1992: 605 mm (-29% on the normal)1993: 697 mm (-18% on the normal)1994: 692 mm (-19% on the normal)1995: 1,068 mm (+25% on the normal)1996: 1,185 mm (+39% on the normal)1997: 1,110 mm (+30% on the normal)1998: 768 mm (-10% on the normal)1999: 977 mm (+15% on the normal)2000: 1,098 mm (+29% on the normal)2001: 939 mm (+10% on the normal)2002: 872 mm (+2% on the normal)2003: 695 mm (-18% on the normal)2004: 886 mm (+4% on the normal)2005: 839 mm (-1% on the normal)2006: 836 mm (-2% on the normal)2007: 689 mm (-19% on the normal)2008: 697 mm (-18% on the normal)2009: 794 mm (-7% on the normal)2010: 688 mm (-19% on the normal)2011: 1,013 mm (+19% on the normal)2012: 983 mm (+15% on the normal)2013: 868 mm (+2% on the normal)2014: 612 mm (-28% on the normal)2015: 662 mm (-22% on the normal)2016: 849 mm (-0% on the normal)2017: 1,060 mm (+25% on the normal)2018: 855 mm (+0% on the normal)2019: 895 mm (+5% on the normal)2020: 788 mm (-7% on the normal)2021: 1,087 mm (+28% on the normal)2022: 940 mm (+10% on the normal)2023: 1,028 mm (+21% on the normal)2024: 750 mm (-12% on the normal)2025: 1,058 mm (+24% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (851 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991813 mm (-4% on the normal)
1992605 mm (-29% on the normal)
1993697 mm (-18% on the normal)
1994692 mm (-19% on the normal)
19951,068 mm (+25% on the normal)
19961,185 mm (+39% on the normal)
19971,110 mm (+30% on the normal)
1998768 mm (-10% on the normal)
1999977 mm (+15% on the normal)
20001,098 mm (+29% on the normal)
2001939 mm (+10% on the normal)
2002872 mm (+2% on the normal)
2003695 mm (-18% on the normal)
2004886 mm (+4% on the normal)
2005839 mm (-1% on the normal)
2006836 mm (-2% on the normal)
2007689 mm (-19% on the normal)
2008697 mm (-18% on the normal)
2009794 mm (-7% on the normal)
2010688 mm (-19% on the normal)
20111,013 mm (+19% on the normal)
2012983 mm (+15% on the normal)
2013868 mm (+2% on the normal)
2014612 mm (-28% on the normal)
2015662 mm (-22% on the normal)
2016849 mm (-0% on the normal)
20171,060 mm (+25% on the normal)
2018855 mm (+0% on the normal)
2019895 mm (+5% on the normal)
2020788 mm (-7% on the normal)
20211,087 mm (+28% on the normal)
2022940 mm (+10% on the normal)
20231,028 mm (+21% on the normal)
2024750 mm (-12% on the normal)
20251,058 mm (+24% on the normal)

Wettest: 1996 (1,185 mm). Driest: 1992 (605 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 41.0 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm1079892684427423359869897
Mean °C24.224.323.321.219.016.616.217.719.320.321.723.2

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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