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Weather in Ward 16, Mandeni

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 34.1 °C, 16 mm of rain; a normal November has 97 mm. Coldest night 19.2 °C on 1 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
127.519.23.9
224.320.02.0
325.520.98.0
426.920.90.1
534.120.41.8

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 93 mm, normal 97 mmNDecember: 102 mm, normal 94 mmDJanuary: 83 mm, normal 107 mmJFebruary: 54 mm, normal 98 mmFMarch: 70 mm, normal 92 mmMApril: 46 mm, normal 70 mmAMay: 47 mm, normal 47 mmMJune: 24 mm, normal 29 mmJJuly: 32 mm, normal 45 mmJAugust: 43 mm, normal 34 mmASeptember: 87 mm, normal 59 mmSOctober: 48 mm, normal 85 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November93 mm, normal 97 mm
December102 mm, normal 94 mm
January83 mm, normal 107 mm
February54 mm, normal 98 mm
March70 mm, normal 92 mm
April46 mm, normal 70 mm
May47 mm, normal 47 mm
June24 mm, normal 29 mm
July32 mm, normal 45 mm
August43 mm, normal 34 mm
September87 mm, normal 59 mm
October48 mm, normal 85 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 829 mm (-3% on the normal)1992: 586 mm (-32% on the normal)1993: 701 mm (-18% on the normal)1994: 701 mm (-18% on the normal)1995: 1,077 mm (+26% on the normal)1996: 1,205 mm (+41% on the normal)1997: 1,134 mm (+32% on the normal)1998: 767 mm (-10% on the normal)1999: 978 mm (+14% on the normal)2000: 1,115 mm (+30% on the normal)2001: 938 mm (+10% on the normal)2002: 888 mm (+4% on the normal)2003: 696 mm (-19% on the normal)2004: 905 mm (+6% on the normal)2005: 832 mm (-3% on the normal)2006: 845 mm (-1% on the normal)2007: 696 mm (-19% on the normal)2008: 713 mm (-17% on the normal)2009: 771 mm (-10% on the normal)2010: 688 mm (-20% on the normal)2011: 1,009 mm (+18% on the normal)2012: 980 mm (+14% on the normal)2013: 865 mm (+1% on the normal)2014: 627 mm (-27% on the normal)2015: 658 mm (-23% on the normal)2016: 861 mm (+1% on the normal)2017: 1,094 mm (+28% on the normal)2018: 872 mm (+2% on the normal)2019: 896 mm (+5% on the normal)2020: 765 mm (-11% on the normal)2021: 1,094 mm (+28% on the normal)2022: 914 mm (+7% on the normal)2023: 1,021 mm (+19% on the normal)2024: 748 mm (-13% on the normal)2025: 1,058 mm (+24% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (856 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991829 mm (-3% on the normal)
1992586 mm (-32% on the normal)
1993701 mm (-18% on the normal)
1994701 mm (-18% on the normal)
19951,077 mm (+26% on the normal)
19961,205 mm (+41% on the normal)
19971,134 mm (+32% on the normal)
1998767 mm (-10% on the normal)
1999978 mm (+14% on the normal)
20001,115 mm (+30% on the normal)
2001938 mm (+10% on the normal)
2002888 mm (+4% on the normal)
2003696 mm (-19% on the normal)
2004905 mm (+6% on the normal)
2005832 mm (-3% on the normal)
2006845 mm (-1% on the normal)
2007696 mm (-19% on the normal)
2008713 mm (-17% on the normal)
2009771 mm (-10% on the normal)
2010688 mm (-20% on the normal)
20111,009 mm (+18% on the normal)
2012980 mm (+14% on the normal)
2013865 mm (+1% on the normal)
2014627 mm (-27% on the normal)
2015658 mm (-23% on the normal)
2016861 mm (+1% on the normal)
20171,094 mm (+28% on the normal)
2018872 mm (+2% on the normal)
2019896 mm (+5% on the normal)
2020765 mm (-11% on the normal)
20211,094 mm (+28% on the normal)
2022914 mm (+7% on the normal)
20231,021 mm (+19% on the normal)
2024748 mm (-13% on the normal)
20251,058 mm (+24% on the normal)

Wettest: 1996 (1,205 mm). Driest: 1992 (586 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 40.2 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm1079892704729453459859794
Mean °C24.524.623.721.719.517.316.818.219.720.622.023.5

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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