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Weather in Ward 15, Umzimkhulu
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 32.6 °C, 30 mm of rain; a normal November has 116 mm. Coldest night 14.9 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 5 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23.1 | 15.7 | 8.4 |
| 2 | 18.9 | 14.9 | 11.3 |
| 3 | 18.9 | 15.4 | 7.5 |
| 4 | 24.5 | 17.0 | 0.7 |
| 5 | 32.6 | 15.4 | 2.3 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 119 mm, normal 116 mm |
| December | 144 mm, normal 134 mm |
| January | 70 mm, normal 136 mm |
| February | 186 mm, normal 116 mm |
| March | 71 mm, normal 102 mm |
| April | 41 mm, normal 64 mm |
| May | 37 mm, normal 28 mm |
| June | 25 mm, normal 24 mm |
| July | 54 mm, normal 30 mm |
| August | 44 mm, normal 39 mm |
| September | 114 mm, normal 62 mm |
| October | 87 mm, normal 100 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 984 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 703 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 847 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 845 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,140 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,079 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,102 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 985 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 1,140 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,207 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,089 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 959 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 774 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 905 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 893 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,108 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 870 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 861 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 982 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 772 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,038 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,140 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 932 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 771 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 843 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 962 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,036 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 774 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 958 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 889 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,046 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,144 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 979 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 946 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,114 mm (+17% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,207 mm). Driest: 1992 (703 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 36.8 °C in January 2026.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 136 | 116 | 102 | 64 | 28 | 24 | 30 | 39 | 62 | 100 | 116 | 134 |
| Mean °C | 20.6 | 20.8 | 19.8 | 17.5 | 15.2 | 12.5 | 12.3 | 14.1 | 15.9 | 16.9 | 18.1 | 19.6 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.