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Weather in Ward 16, Umzimkhulu
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.7 °C, 35 mm of rain; a normal November has 129 mm. Coldest night 13.6 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 5 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21.9 | 14.4 | 15.0 |
| 2 | 18.7 | 13.6 | 9.1 |
| 3 | 18.7 | 14.4 | 6.6 |
| 4 | 24.7 | 16.1 | 0.4 |
| 5 | 31.7 | 14.9 | 3.8 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 137 mm, normal 129 mm |
| December | 190 mm, normal 154 mm |
| January | 69 mm, normal 156 mm |
| February | 272 mm, normal 135 mm |
| March | 93 mm, normal 118 mm |
| April | 63 mm, normal 70 mm |
| May | 38 mm, normal 31 mm |
| June | 29 mm, normal 25 mm |
| July | 53 mm, normal 30 mm |
| August | 45 mm, normal 41 mm |
| September | 130 mm, normal 62 mm |
| October | 94 mm, normal 108 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,102 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 778 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 913 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 985 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,243 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,204 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,173 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,059 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 1,252 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,334 mm (+26% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,225 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 1,093 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 896 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 1,012 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 1,006 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,219 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 946 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 946 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,089 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 876 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,156 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,271 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 996 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 877 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 954 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 1,074 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,132 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 882 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 1,020 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 1,019 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,188 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,293 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,110 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 986 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,295 mm (+22% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,334 mm). Driest: 1992 (778 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 35.5 °C in November 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 156 | 135 | 118 | 70 | 31 | 25 | 30 | 41 | 62 | 108 | 129 | 154 |
| Mean °C | 19.6 | 19.8 | 18.8 | 16.3 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 10.9 | 12.9 | 14.9 | 15.9 | 17.2 | 18.7 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.