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Weather in Ward 15, Msukaligwa
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 29.8 °C, 55 mm of rain; a normal November has 149 mm. Coldest night 13.5 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 9 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29.8 | 14.8 | 9.1 |
| 2 | 22.6 | 14.8 | 13.5 |
| 3 | 25.5 | 13.5 | 26.4 |
| 4 | 27.5 | 14.3 | 1.2 |
| 5 | 26.8 | 16.2 | 4.8 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 194 mm, normal 149 mm |
| December | 208 mm, normal 180 mm |
| January | 161 mm, normal 165 mm |
| February | 113 mm, normal 123 mm |
| March | 211 mm, normal 113 mm |
| April | 63 mm, normal 52 mm |
| May | 15 mm, normal 21 mm |
| June | 5.8 mm, normal 11 mm |
| July | 3.9 mm, normal 10 mm |
| August | 41 mm, normal 18 mm |
| September | 94 mm, normal 37 mm |
| October | 8.2 mm, normal 106 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,134 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 853 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 848 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 932 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,029 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,204 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,156 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 996 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 914 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,526 mm (+55% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 978 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 817 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 787 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 1,191 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 963 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,240 mm (+26% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 725 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 987 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,133 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,140 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,059 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 943 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 951 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 976 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 819 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 846 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 808 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 805 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 889 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 907 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,129 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 894 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 961 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 839 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,163 mm (+18% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,526 mm). Driest: 2007 (725 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 31.5 °C in October 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 165 | 123 | 113 | 52 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 106 | 149 | 180 |
| Mean °C | 18.0 | 18.0 | 16.8 | 14.5 | 12.0 | 9.5 | 9.3 | 11.9 | 14.9 | 15.8 | 16.7 | 17.8 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.