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Weather in Ward 16, Msukaligwa
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 29.8 °C, 53 mm of rain; a normal November has 138 mm. Coldest night 13.8 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29.8 | 15.9 | 12.1 |
| 2 | 24.4 | 14.7 | 15.7 |
| 3 | 26.6 | 13.8 | 14.7 |
| 4 | 26.7 | 15.2 | 0.5 |
| 5 | 27.8 | 16.2 | 9.9 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 206 mm, normal 138 mm |
| December | 169 mm, normal 175 mm |
| January | 152 mm, normal 150 mm |
| February | 127 mm, normal 109 mm |
| March | 179 mm, normal 98 mm |
| April | 64 mm, normal 50 mm |
| May | 22 mm, normal 17 mm |
| June | 7.5 mm, normal 8.4 mm |
| July | 2.2 mm, normal 8.2 mm |
| August | 31 mm, normal 17 mm |
| September | 92 mm, normal 31 mm |
| October | 5.0 mm, normal 105 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,016 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 787 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 880 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 822 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 943 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,168 mm (+29% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,070 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 942 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 898 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,350 mm (+49% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 933 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 783 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 729 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 949 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 853 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,148 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 614 mm (-32% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 826 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,015 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,094 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 976 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 834 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 846 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 987 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 623 mm (-31% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 886 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 826 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 710 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 875 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 786 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,049 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 866 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 853 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 723 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,220 mm (+35% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,350 mm). Driest: 2007 (614 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 32.6 °C in December 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 150 | 109 | 98 | 50 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 105 | 138 | 175 |
| Mean °C | 17.9 | 17.9 | 16.7 | 14.3 | 11.6 | 9.0 | 8.8 | 11.8 | 15.3 | 16.2 | 16.8 | 17.8 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.