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Weather in Ward 18, Msukaligwa
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 29.6 °C, 61 mm of rain; a normal November has 147 mm. Coldest night 13.8 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 15 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29.6 | 15.8 | 13.3 |
| 2 | 23.6 | 14.8 | 15.2 |
| 3 | 26.1 | 13.8 | 23.5 |
| 4 | 27.3 | 15.2 | 1.1 |
| 5 | 27.7 | 16.4 | 8.2 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 207 mm, normal 147 mm |
| December | 183 mm, normal 181 mm |
| January | 149 mm, normal 158 mm |
| February | 115 mm, normal 116 mm |
| March | 180 mm, normal 107 mm |
| April | 56 mm, normal 51 mm |
| May | 19 mm, normal 19 mm |
| June | 6.3 mm, normal 10 mm |
| July | 2.8 mm, normal 10 mm |
| August | 38 mm, normal 18 mm |
| September | 93 mm, normal 35 mm |
| October | 8.3 mm, normal 110 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,089 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 868 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 881 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 910 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,011 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,222 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,141 mm (+19% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,009 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 914 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,467 mm (+53% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 958 mm (-0% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 834 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 748 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 1,104 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 945 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,198 mm (+25% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 692 mm (-28% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 912 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,090 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,136 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,049 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 887 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 911 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 996 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 710 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 878 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 814 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 776 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 869 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 831 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,112 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 889 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 944 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 814 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,199 mm (+25% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,467 mm). Driest: 2007 (692 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 32.2 °C in October 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 158 | 116 | 107 | 51 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 35 | 110 | 147 | 181 |
| Mean °C | 18.1 | 18.1 | 17.0 | 14.6 | 12.0 | 9.5 | 9.3 | 12.1 | 15.3 | 16.2 | 17.0 | 18.0 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.