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Weather in Ward 15, City of Mbombela

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.3 °C, 9.1 mm of rain; a normal November has 123 mm. Coldest night 15.8 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
131.315.90.1
223.917.75.3
328.815.83.4
430.717.00.2
531.318.80.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 129 mm, normal 123 mmNDecember: 207 mm, normal 152 mmDJanuary: 364 mm, normal 154 mmJFebruary: 49 mm, normal 134 mmFMarch: 250 mm, normal 106 mmMApril: 115 mm, normal 55 mmAMay: 13 mm, normal 20 mmMJune: 6.3 mm, normal 10 mmJJuly: 3.7 mm, normal 13 mmJAugust: 60 mm, normal 18 mmASeptember: 79 mm, normal 35 mmSOctober: 22 mm, normal 74 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November129 mm, normal 123 mm
December207 mm, normal 152 mm
January364 mm, normal 154 mm
February49 mm, normal 134 mm
March250 mm, normal 106 mm
April115 mm, normal 55 mm
May13 mm, normal 20 mm
June6.3 mm, normal 10 mm
July3.7 mm, normal 13 mm
August60 mm, normal 18 mm
September79 mm, normal 35 mm
October22 mm, normal 74 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 942 mm (+5% on the normal)1992: 642 mm (-28% on the normal)1993: 754 mm (-16% on the normal)1994: 607 mm (-32% on the normal)1995: 851 mm (-5% on the normal)1996: 1,051 mm (+18% on the normal)1997: 1,056 mm (+18% on the normal)1998: 1,079 mm (+21% on the normal)1999: 896 mm (+0% on the normal)2000: 1,576 mm (+76% on the normal)2001: 1,084 mm (+21% on the normal)2002: 643 mm (-28% on the normal)2003: 640 mm (-28% on the normal)2004: 1,124 mm (+26% on the normal)2005: 865 mm (-3% on the normal)2006: 1,150 mm (+29% on the normal)2007: 760 mm (-15% on the normal)2008: 840 mm (-6% on the normal)2009: 953 mm (+7% on the normal)2010: 1,124 mm (+26% on the normal)2011: 795 mm (-11% on the normal)2012: 808 mm (-10% on the normal)2013: 1,056 mm (+18% on the normal)2014: 839 mm (-6% on the normal)2015: 604 mm (-32% on the normal)2016: 673 mm (-25% on the normal)2017: 962 mm (+8% on the normal)2018: 691 mm (-23% on the normal)2019: 794 mm (-11% on the normal)2020: 953 mm (+7% on the normal)2021: 1,048 mm (+17% on the normal)2022: 838 mm (-6% on the normal)2023: 1,008 mm (+13% on the normal)2024: 846 mm (-5% on the normal)2025: 1,024 mm (+15% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (894 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991942 mm (+5% on the normal)
1992642 mm (-28% on the normal)
1993754 mm (-16% on the normal)
1994607 mm (-32% on the normal)
1995851 mm (-5% on the normal)
19961,051 mm (+18% on the normal)
19971,056 mm (+18% on the normal)
19981,079 mm (+21% on the normal)
1999896 mm (+0% on the normal)
20001,576 mm (+76% on the normal)
20011,084 mm (+21% on the normal)
2002643 mm (-28% on the normal)
2003640 mm (-28% on the normal)
20041,124 mm (+26% on the normal)
2005865 mm (-3% on the normal)
20061,150 mm (+29% on the normal)
2007760 mm (-15% on the normal)
2008840 mm (-6% on the normal)
2009953 mm (+7% on the normal)
20101,124 mm (+26% on the normal)
2011795 mm (-11% on the normal)
2012808 mm (-10% on the normal)
20131,056 mm (+18% on the normal)
2014839 mm (-6% on the normal)
2015604 mm (-32% on the normal)
2016673 mm (-25% on the normal)
2017962 mm (+8% on the normal)
2018691 mm (-23% on the normal)
2019794 mm (-11% on the normal)
2020953 mm (+7% on the normal)
20211,048 mm (+17% on the normal)
2022838 mm (-6% on the normal)
20231,008 mm (+13% on the normal)
2024846 mm (-5% on the normal)
20251,024 mm (+15% on the normal)

Wettest: 2000 (1,576 mm). Driest: 2015 (604 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.9 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm15413410655201013183574123152
Mean °C21.821.820.918.515.713.112.915.118.019.120.321.3

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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