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Weather in Ward 38, City of Mbombela

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.9 °C, 8.5 mm of rain; a normal November has 126 mm. Coldest night 16.4 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 7 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
131.916.60.0
222.918.26.3
328.716.42.0
430.917.70.2
531.819.20.0

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 119 mm, normal 126 mmNDecember: 184 mm, normal 157 mmDJanuary: 383 mm, normal 161 mmJFebruary: 44 mm, normal 140 mmFMarch: 250 mm, normal 111 mmMApril: 119 mm, normal 58 mmAMay: 9.9 mm, normal 21 mmMJune: 6.2 mm, normal 12 mmJJuly: 3.9 mm, normal 15 mmJAugust: 64 mm, normal 20 mmASeptember: 75 mm, normal 38 mmSOctober: 19 mm, normal 75 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November119 mm, normal 126 mm
December184 mm, normal 157 mm
January383 mm, normal 161 mm
February44 mm, normal 140 mm
March250 mm, normal 111 mm
April119 mm, normal 58 mm
May9.9 mm, normal 21 mm
June6.2 mm, normal 12 mm
July3.9 mm, normal 15 mm
August64 mm, normal 20 mm
September75 mm, normal 38 mm
October19 mm, normal 75 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 923 mm (-1% on the normal)1992: 685 mm (-27% on the normal)1993: 808 mm (-13% on the normal)1994: 618 mm (-34% on the normal)1995: 898 mm (-4% on the normal)1996: 1,091 mm (+17% on the normal)1997: 1,103 mm (+18% on the normal)1998: 1,208 mm (+30% on the normal)1999: 932 mm (-0% on the normal)2000: 1,667 mm (+79% on the normal)2001: 1,172 mm (+26% on the normal)2002: 655 mm (-30% on the normal)2003: 681 mm (-27% on the normal)2004: 1,159 mm (+24% on the normal)2005: 927 mm (-1% on the normal)2006: 1,193 mm (+28% on the normal)2007: 802 mm (-14% on the normal)2008: 853 mm (-9% on the normal)2009: 976 mm (+5% on the normal)2010: 1,133 mm (+21% on the normal)2011: 860 mm (-8% on the normal)2012: 802 mm (-14% on the normal)2013: 1,172 mm (+26% on the normal)2014: 853 mm (-9% on the normal)2015: 579 mm (-38% on the normal)2016: 733 mm (-21% on the normal)2017: 1,057 mm (+13% on the normal)2018: 698 mm (-25% on the normal)2019: 806 mm (-14% on the normal)2020: 935 mm (+0% on the normal)2021: 1,079 mm (+16% on the normal)2022: 771 mm (-17% on the normal)2023: 1,071 mm (+15% on the normal)2024: 801 mm (-14% on the normal)2025: 970 mm (+4% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (933 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991923 mm (-1% on the normal)
1992685 mm (-27% on the normal)
1993808 mm (-13% on the normal)
1994618 mm (-34% on the normal)
1995898 mm (-4% on the normal)
19961,091 mm (+17% on the normal)
19971,103 mm (+18% on the normal)
19981,208 mm (+30% on the normal)
1999932 mm (-0% on the normal)
20001,667 mm (+79% on the normal)
20011,172 mm (+26% on the normal)
2002655 mm (-30% on the normal)
2003681 mm (-27% on the normal)
20041,159 mm (+24% on the normal)
2005927 mm (-1% on the normal)
20061,193 mm (+28% on the normal)
2007802 mm (-14% on the normal)
2008853 mm (-9% on the normal)
2009976 mm (+5% on the normal)
20101,133 mm (+21% on the normal)
2011860 mm (-8% on the normal)
2012802 mm (-14% on the normal)
20131,172 mm (+26% on the normal)
2014853 mm (-9% on the normal)
2015579 mm (-38% on the normal)
2016733 mm (-21% on the normal)
20171,057 mm (+13% on the normal)
2018698 mm (-25% on the normal)
2019806 mm (-14% on the normal)
2020935 mm (+0% on the normal)
20211,079 mm (+16% on the normal)
2022771 mm (-17% on the normal)
20231,071 mm (+15% on the normal)
2024801 mm (-14% on the normal)
2025970 mm (+4% on the normal)

Wettest: 2000 (1,667 mm). Driest: 2015 (579 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.2 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm16114011158211215203875126157
Mean °C22.122.121.218.916.413.913.515.618.319.520.621.7

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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