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Weather in Ward 15, Thulamela

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 32.8 °C, 0.3 mm of rain; a normal November has 100 mm. Coldest night 17.9 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
132.818.30.0
228.019.30.3
332.117.90.0
432.220.20.0
531.921.40.0

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 152 mm, normal 100 mmNDecember: 228 mm, normal 138 mmDJanuary: 762 mm, normal 149 mmJFebruary: 22 mm, normal 128 mmFMarch: 296 mm, normal 76 mmMApril: 82 mm, normal 36 mmAMay: 10 mm, normal 18 mmMJune: 13 mm, normal 11 mmJJuly: 0.8 mm, normal 14 mmJAugust: 19 mm, normal 9.9 mmASeptember: 70 mm, normal 21 mmSOctober: 14 mm, normal 36 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November152 mm, normal 100 mm
December228 mm, normal 138 mm
January762 mm, normal 149 mm
February22 mm, normal 128 mm
March296 mm, normal 76 mm
April82 mm, normal 36 mm
May10 mm, normal 18 mm
June13 mm, normal 11 mm
July0.8 mm, normal 14 mm
August19 mm, normal 9.9 mm
September70 mm, normal 21 mm
October14 mm, normal 36 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 538 mm (-27% on the normal)1992: 543 mm (-26% on the normal)1993: 675 mm (-8% on the normal)1994: 429 mm (-42% on the normal)1995: 627 mm (-15% on the normal)1996: 1,181 mm (+60% on the normal)1997: 667 mm (-10% on the normal)1998: 974 mm (+32% on the normal)1999: 1,035 mm (+40% on the normal)2000: 1,405 mm (+91% on the normal)2001: 986 mm (+34% on the normal)2002: 344 mm (-53% on the normal)2003: 580 mm (-21% on the normal)2004: 652 mm (-12% on the normal)2005: 514 mm (-30% on the normal)2006: 872 mm (+18% on the normal)2007: 744 mm (+1% on the normal)2008: 538 mm (-27% on the normal)2009: 719 mm (-2% on the normal)2010: 1,008 mm (+37% on the normal)2011: 659 mm (-11% on the normal)2012: 657 mm (-11% on the normal)2013: 1,017 mm (+38% on the normal)2014: 977 mm (+33% on the normal)2015: 415 mm (-44% on the normal)2016: 637 mm (-14% on the normal)2017: 720 mm (-2% on the normal)2018: 542 mm (-26% on the normal)2019: 714 mm (-3% on the normal)2020: 752 mm (+2% on the normal)2021: 971 mm (+32% on the normal)2022: 590 mm (-20% on the normal)2023: 992 mm (+35% on the normal)2024: 453 mm (-39% on the normal)2025: 1,119 mm (+52% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (737 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991538 mm (-27% on the normal)
1992543 mm (-26% on the normal)
1993675 mm (-8% on the normal)
1994429 mm (-42% on the normal)
1995627 mm (-15% on the normal)
19961,181 mm (+60% on the normal)
1997667 mm (-10% on the normal)
1998974 mm (+32% on the normal)
19991,035 mm (+40% on the normal)
20001,405 mm (+91% on the normal)
2001986 mm (+34% on the normal)
2002344 mm (-53% on the normal)
2003580 mm (-21% on the normal)
2004652 mm (-12% on the normal)
2005514 mm (-30% on the normal)
2006872 mm (+18% on the normal)
2007744 mm (+1% on the normal)
2008538 mm (-27% on the normal)
2009719 mm (-2% on the normal)
20101,008 mm (+37% on the normal)
2011659 mm (-11% on the normal)
2012657 mm (-11% on the normal)
20131,017 mm (+38% on the normal)
2014977 mm (+33% on the normal)
2015415 mm (-44% on the normal)
2016637 mm (-14% on the normal)
2017720 mm (-2% on the normal)
2018542 mm (-26% on the normal)
2019714 mm (-3% on the normal)
2020752 mm (+2% on the normal)
2021971 mm (+32% on the normal)
2022590 mm (-20% on the normal)
2023992 mm (+35% on the normal)
2024453 mm (-39% on the normal)
20251,119 mm (+52% on the normal)

Wettest: 2000 (1,405 mm). Driest: 2002 (344 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.5 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm1491287636181114102136100138
Mean °C22.622.521.619.617.315.114.616.919.721.122.022.5

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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