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Weather in Ward 3, Mogalakwena

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 36.1 °C, 1.7 mm of rain; a normal November has 70 mm. 2 days reached 35 °C. Coldest night 18.4 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
136.119.10.0
227.420.21.5
334.518.40.2
434.721.90.0
535.422.60.0

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 102 mm, normal 70 mmNDecember: 85 mm, normal 87 mmDJanuary: 182 mm, normal 93 mmJFebruary: 20 mm, normal 61 mmFMarch: 217 mm, normal 45 mmMApril: 106 mm, normal 23 mmAMay: 2.9 mm, normal 8.3 mmMJune: 3.1 mm, normal 4.3 mmJJuly: 0.0 mm, normal 2.8 mmJAugust: 16 mm, normal 1.8 mmASeptember: 30 mm, normal 10 mmSOctober: 7.9 mm, normal 25 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November102 mm, normal 70 mm
December85 mm, normal 87 mm
January182 mm, normal 93 mm
February20 mm, normal 61 mm
March217 mm, normal 45 mm
April106 mm, normal 23 mm
May2.9 mm, normal 8.3 mm
June3.1 mm, normal 4.3 mm
July0.0 mm, normal 2.8 mm
August16 mm, normal 1.8 mm
September30 mm, normal 10 mm
October7.9 mm, normal 25 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 382 mm (-11% on the normal)1992: 236 mm (-45% on the normal)1993: 262 mm (-39% on the normal)1994: 258 mm (-40% on the normal)1995: 456 mm (+6% on the normal)1996: 658 mm (+53% on the normal)1997: 434 mm (+1% on the normal)1998: 500 mm (+16% on the normal)1999: 465 mm (+8% on the normal)2000: 681 mm (+58% on the normal)2001: 458 mm (+6% on the normal)2002: 203 mm (-53% on the normal)2003: 329 mm (-24% on the normal)2004: 409 mm (-5% on the normal)2005: 277 mm (-36% on the normal)2006: 487 mm (+13% on the normal)2007: 573 mm (+33% on the normal)2008: 468 mm (+9% on the normal)2009: 492 mm (+14% on the normal)2010: 476 mm (+11% on the normal)2011: 490 mm (+14% on the normal)2012: 351 mm (-18% on the normal)2013: 528 mm (+23% on the normal)2014: 831 mm (+93% on the normal)2015: 240 mm (-44% on the normal)2016: 404 mm (-6% on the normal)2017: 414 mm (-4% on the normal)2018: 323 mm (-25% on the normal)2019: 339 mm (-21% on the normal)2020: 493 mm (+15% on the normal)2021: 494 mm (+15% on the normal)2022: 280 mm (-35% on the normal)2023: 419 mm (-3% on the normal)2024: 274 mm (-36% on the normal)2025: 777 mm (+80% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (431 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991382 mm (-11% on the normal)
1992236 mm (-45% on the normal)
1993262 mm (-39% on the normal)
1994258 mm (-40% on the normal)
1995456 mm (+6% on the normal)
1996658 mm (+53% on the normal)
1997434 mm (+1% on the normal)
1998500 mm (+16% on the normal)
1999465 mm (+8% on the normal)
2000681 mm (+58% on the normal)
2001458 mm (+6% on the normal)
2002203 mm (-53% on the normal)
2003329 mm (-24% on the normal)
2004409 mm (-5% on the normal)
2005277 mm (-36% on the normal)
2006487 mm (+13% on the normal)
2007573 mm (+33% on the normal)
2008468 mm (+9% on the normal)
2009492 mm (+14% on the normal)
2010476 mm (+11% on the normal)
2011490 mm (+14% on the normal)
2012351 mm (-18% on the normal)
2013528 mm (+23% on the normal)
2014831 mm (+93% on the normal)
2015240 mm (-44% on the normal)
2016404 mm (-6% on the normal)
2017414 mm (-4% on the normal)
2018323 mm (-25% on the normal)
2019339 mm (-21% on the normal)
2020493 mm (+15% on the normal)
2021494 mm (+15% on the normal)
2022280 mm (-35% on the normal)
2023419 mm (-3% on the normal)
2024274 mm (-36% on the normal)
2025777 mm (+80% on the normal)

Wettest: 2014 (831 mm). Driest: 2002 (203 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 40.0 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm93614523843210257087
Mean °C24.724.623.420.817.814.914.517.521.223.223.924.5

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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