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Weather in Ward 4, Mogalakwena

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 35.2 °C, 2.5 mm of rain; a normal November has 67 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 17.2 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 7 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
135.217.80.0
226.018.72.1
333.117.20.4
433.520.90.0
533.921.60.0

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 92 mm, normal 67 mmNDecember: 85 mm, normal 81 mmDJanuary: 230 mm, normal 88 mmJFebruary: 21 mm, normal 60 mmFMarch: 215 mm, normal 44 mmMApril: 90 mm, normal 22 mmAMay: 4.3 mm, normal 7.1 mmMJune: 2.7 mm, normal 3.7 mmJJuly: 0.0 mm, normal 2.7 mmJAugust: 22 mm, normal 2.1 mmASeptember: 32 mm, normal 9.7 mmSOctober: 7.3 mm, normal 25 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November92 mm, normal 67 mm
December85 mm, normal 81 mm
January230 mm, normal 88 mm
February21 mm, normal 60 mm
March215 mm, normal 44 mm
April90 mm, normal 22 mm
May4.3 mm, normal 7.1 mm
June2.7 mm, normal 3.7 mm
July0.0 mm, normal 2.7 mm
August22 mm, normal 2.1 mm
September32 mm, normal 9.7 mm
October7.3 mm, normal 25 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 368 mm (-11% on the normal)1992: 221 mm (-46% on the normal)1993: 267 mm (-35% on the normal)1994: 257 mm (-38% on the normal)1995: 417 mm (+1% on the normal)1996: 629 mm (+52% on the normal)1997: 406 mm (-2% on the normal)1998: 460 mm (+11% on the normal)1999: 493 mm (+19% on the normal)2000: 674 mm (+63% on the normal)2001: 418 mm (+1% on the normal)2002: 202 mm (-51% on the normal)2003: 321 mm (-22% on the normal)2004: 392 mm (-5% on the normal)2005: 238 mm (-42% on the normal)2006: 504 mm (+22% on the normal)2007: 593 mm (+44% on the normal)2008: 475 mm (+15% on the normal)2009: 455 mm (+10% on the normal)2010: 447 mm (+8% on the normal)2011: 465 mm (+13% on the normal)2012: 332 mm (-20% on the normal)2013: 518 mm (+25% on the normal)2014: 755 mm (+83% on the normal)2015: 236 mm (-43% on the normal)2016: 380 mm (-8% on the normal)2017: 396 mm (-4% on the normal)2018: 294 mm (-29% on the normal)2019: 317 mm (-23% on the normal)2020: 455 mm (+10% on the normal)2021: 462 mm (+12% on the normal)2022: 270 mm (-35% on the normal)2023: 425 mm (+3% on the normal)2024: 288 mm (-30% on the normal)2025: 757 mm (+83% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (413 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991368 mm (-11% on the normal)
1992221 mm (-46% on the normal)
1993267 mm (-35% on the normal)
1994257 mm (-38% on the normal)
1995417 mm (+1% on the normal)
1996629 mm (+52% on the normal)
1997406 mm (-2% on the normal)
1998460 mm (+11% on the normal)
1999493 mm (+19% on the normal)
2000674 mm (+63% on the normal)
2001418 mm (+1% on the normal)
2002202 mm (-51% on the normal)
2003321 mm (-22% on the normal)
2004392 mm (-5% on the normal)
2005238 mm (-42% on the normal)
2006504 mm (+22% on the normal)
2007593 mm (+44% on the normal)
2008475 mm (+15% on the normal)
2009455 mm (+10% on the normal)
2010447 mm (+8% on the normal)
2011465 mm (+13% on the normal)
2012332 mm (-20% on the normal)
2013518 mm (+25% on the normal)
2014755 mm (+83% on the normal)
2015236 mm (-43% on the normal)
2016380 mm (-8% on the normal)
2017396 mm (-4% on the normal)
2018294 mm (-29% on the normal)
2019317 mm (-23% on the normal)
2020455 mm (+10% on the normal)
2021462 mm (+12% on the normal)
2022270 mm (-35% on the normal)
2023425 mm (+3% on the normal)
2024288 mm (-30% on the normal)
2025757 mm (+83% on the normal)

Wettest: 2025 (757 mm). Driest: 2002 (202 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.6 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm88604422743210256781
Mean °C23.823.722.620.017.214.314.016.920.422.323.023.6

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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