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Weather in Ward 15, Mogalakwena

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 34.9 °C, 3.4 mm of rain; a normal November has 72 mm. Coldest night 17.5 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 5 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
134.919.00.0
225.918.22.4
332.917.50.9
433.219.80.1
534.120.00.0

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 106 mm, normal 72 mmNDecember: 71 mm, normal 88 mmDJanuary: 226 mm, normal 99 mmJFebruary: 30 mm, normal 66 mmFMarch: 187 mm, normal 50 mmMApril: 77 mm, normal 27 mmAMay: 6.6 mm, normal 7.9 mmMJune: 3.4 mm, normal 4.2 mmJJuly: 0.0 mm, normal 2.8 mmJAugust: 31 mm, normal 2.8 mmASeptember: 35 mm, normal 11 mmSOctober: 5.5 mm, normal 32 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November106 mm, normal 72 mm
December71 mm, normal 88 mm
January226 mm, normal 99 mm
February30 mm, normal 66 mm
March187 mm, normal 50 mm
April77 mm, normal 27 mm
May6.6 mm, normal 7.9 mm
June3.4 mm, normal 4.2 mm
July0.0 mm, normal 2.8 mm
August31 mm, normal 2.8 mm
September35 mm, normal 11 mm
October5.5 mm, normal 32 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 448 mm (-3% on the normal)1992: 269 mm (-42% on the normal)1993: 314 mm (-32% on the normal)1994: 365 mm (-21% on the normal)1995: 428 mm (-8% on the normal)1996: 679 mm (+47% on the normal)1997: 510 mm (+10% on the normal)1998: 560 mm (+21% on the normal)1999: 501 mm (+8% on the normal)2000: 772 mm (+67% on the normal)2001: 493 mm (+7% on the normal)2002: 258 mm (-44% on the normal)2003: 331 mm (-28% on the normal)2004: 439 mm (-5% on the normal)2005: 317 mm (-32% on the normal)2006: 545 mm (+18% on the normal)2007: 514 mm (+11% on the normal)2008: 491 mm (+6% on the normal)2009: 562 mm (+21% on the normal)2010: 496 mm (+7% on the normal)2011: 565 mm (+22% on the normal)2012: 346 mm (-25% on the normal)2013: 569 mm (+23% on the normal)2014: 795 mm (+72% on the normal)2015: 268 mm (-42% on the normal)2016: 407 mm (-12% on the normal)2017: 469 mm (+1% on the normal)2018: 328 mm (-29% on the normal)2019: 377 mm (-19% on the normal)2020: 460 mm (-1% on the normal)2021: 519 mm (+12% on the normal)2022: 386 mm (-17% on the normal)2023: 466 mm (+1% on the normal)2024: 328 mm (-29% on the normal)2025: 801 mm (+73% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (463 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991448 mm (-3% on the normal)
1992269 mm (-42% on the normal)
1993314 mm (-32% on the normal)
1994365 mm (-21% on the normal)
1995428 mm (-8% on the normal)
1996679 mm (+47% on the normal)
1997510 mm (+10% on the normal)
1998560 mm (+21% on the normal)
1999501 mm (+8% on the normal)
2000772 mm (+67% on the normal)
2001493 mm (+7% on the normal)
2002258 mm (-44% on the normal)
2003331 mm (-28% on the normal)
2004439 mm (-5% on the normal)
2005317 mm (-32% on the normal)
2006545 mm (+18% on the normal)
2007514 mm (+11% on the normal)
2008491 mm (+6% on the normal)
2009562 mm (+21% on the normal)
2010496 mm (+7% on the normal)
2011565 mm (+22% on the normal)
2012346 mm (-25% on the normal)
2013569 mm (+23% on the normal)
2014795 mm (+72% on the normal)
2015268 mm (-42% on the normal)
2016407 mm (-12% on the normal)
2017469 mm (+1% on the normal)
2018328 mm (-29% on the normal)
2019377 mm (-19% on the normal)
2020460 mm (-1% on the normal)
2021519 mm (+12% on the normal)
2022386 mm (-17% on the normal)
2023466 mm (+1% on the normal)
2024328 mm (-29% on the normal)
2025801 mm (+73% on the normal)

Wettest: 2025 (801 mm). Driest: 2002 (258 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.6 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm99665027843311327288
Mean °C23.723.622.520.017.214.314.017.020.622.322.923.5

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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