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Weather in Ward 4, Ephraim Mogale

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 36.7 °C, 2.9 mm of rain; a normal November has 90 mm. 2 days reached 35 °C. Coldest night 18.3 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
136.719.80.1
229.521.51.3
334.818.31.3
434.920.10.1
535.822.60.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 172 mm, normal 90 mmNDecember: 91 mm, normal 98 mmDJanuary: 140 mm, normal 98 mmJFebruary: 39 mm, normal 69 mmFMarch: 142 mm, normal 66 mmMApril: 84 mm, normal 37 mmAMay: 22 mm, normal 15 mmMJune: 4.3 mm, normal 4.7 mmJJuly: 0.2 mm, normal 3.8 mmJAugust: 45 mm, normal 4.9 mmASeptember: 38 mm, normal 13 mmSOctober: 1.5 mm, normal 51 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November172 mm, normal 90 mm
December91 mm, normal 98 mm
January140 mm, normal 98 mm
February39 mm, normal 69 mm
March142 mm, normal 66 mm
April84 mm, normal 37 mm
May22 mm, normal 15 mm
June4.3 mm, normal 4.7 mm
July0.2 mm, normal 3.8 mm
August45 mm, normal 4.9 mm
September38 mm, normal 13 mm
October1.5 mm, normal 51 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 525 mm (-4% on the normal)1992: 346 mm (-37% on the normal)1993: 480 mm (-13% on the normal)1994: 484 mm (-12% on the normal)1995: 561 mm (+2% on the normal)1996: 655 mm (+19% on the normal)1997: 594 mm (+8% on the normal)1998: 565 mm (+3% on the normal)1999: 622 mm (+13% on the normal)2000: 922 mm (+68% on the normal)2001: 592 mm (+8% on the normal)2002: 366 mm (-33% on the normal)2003: 431 mm (-22% on the normal)2004: 563 mm (+3% on the normal)2005: 446 mm (-19% on the normal)2006: 697 mm (+27% on the normal)2007: 401 mm (-27% on the normal)2008: 582 mm (+6% on the normal)2009: 678 mm (+23% on the normal)2010: 686 mm (+25% on the normal)2011: 687 mm (+25% on the normal)2012: 480 mm (-13% on the normal)2013: 551 mm (+0% on the normal)2014: 633 mm (+15% on the normal)2015: 363 mm (-34% on the normal)2016: 531 mm (-3% on the normal)2017: 562 mm (+2% on the normal)2018: 383 mm (-30% on the normal)2019: 477 mm (-13% on the normal)2020: 606 mm (+10% on the normal)2021: 619 mm (+13% on the normal)2022: 481 mm (-12% on the normal)2023: 476 mm (-13% on the normal)2024: 350 mm (-36% on the normal)2025: 897 mm (+63% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (549 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991525 mm (-4% on the normal)
1992346 mm (-37% on the normal)
1993480 mm (-13% on the normal)
1994484 mm (-12% on the normal)
1995561 mm (+2% on the normal)
1996655 mm (+19% on the normal)
1997594 mm (+8% on the normal)
1998565 mm (+3% on the normal)
1999622 mm (+13% on the normal)
2000922 mm (+68% on the normal)
2001592 mm (+8% on the normal)
2002366 mm (-33% on the normal)
2003431 mm (-22% on the normal)
2004563 mm (+3% on the normal)
2005446 mm (-19% on the normal)
2006697 mm (+27% on the normal)
2007401 mm (-27% on the normal)
2008582 mm (+6% on the normal)
2009678 mm (+23% on the normal)
2010686 mm (+25% on the normal)
2011687 mm (+25% on the normal)
2012480 mm (-13% on the normal)
2013551 mm (+0% on the normal)
2014633 mm (+15% on the normal)
2015363 mm (-34% on the normal)
2016531 mm (-3% on the normal)
2017562 mm (+2% on the normal)
2018383 mm (-30% on the normal)
2019477 mm (-13% on the normal)
2020606 mm (+10% on the normal)
2021619 mm (+13% on the normal)
2022481 mm (-12% on the normal)
2023476 mm (-13% on the normal)
2024350 mm (-36% on the normal)
2025897 mm (+63% on the normal)

Wettest: 2000 (922 mm). Driest: 1992 (346 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.6 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm986966371554513519098
Mean °C24.524.523.120.216.813.613.516.720.922.623.124.0

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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