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Weather in Ward 15, Ephraim Mogale
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 37.1 °C, 4.6 mm of rain; a normal November has 72 mm. 4 days reached 35 °C. Coldest night 17.5 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37.1 | 19.9 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 28.2 | 20.9 | 2.6 |
| 3 | 35.0 | 17.5 | 1.8 |
| 4 | 35.2 | 20.2 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 35.5 | 22.6 | 0.2 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 102 mm, normal 72 mm |
| December | 60 mm, normal 73 mm |
| January | 190 mm, normal 80 mm |
| February | 22 mm, normal 55 mm |
| March | 131 mm, normal 51 mm |
| April | 75 mm, normal 29 mm |
| May | 17 mm, normal 11 mm |
| June | 2.3 mm, normal 3.2 mm |
| July | 0.4 mm, normal 3.3 mm |
| August | 29 mm, normal 3.9 mm |
| September | 29 mm, normal 10 mm |
| October | 1.1 mm, normal 39 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 409 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 253 mm (-41% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 307 mm (-29% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 351 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 401 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 546 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 436 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 484 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 467 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 750 mm (+74% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 458 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 240 mm (-44% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 399 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 435 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 356 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 565 mm (+31% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 341 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 412 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 540 mm (+25% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 515 mm (+19% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 536 mm (+24% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 354 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 502 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 546 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 293 mm (-32% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 415 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 474 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 333 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 338 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 488 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 505 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 407 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 401 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 314 mm (-27% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 582 mm (+35% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (750 mm). Driest: 2002 (240 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 40.1 °C in December 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 80 | 55 | 51 | 29 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 72 | 73 |
| Mean °C | 25.0 | 25.0 | 23.5 | 20.8 | 17.4 | 14.3 | 14.0 | 17.2 | 21.2 | 22.9 | 23.5 | 24.6 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.