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Weather in Ward 16, Ephraim Mogale

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 35.1 °C, 4.5 mm of rain; a normal November has 83 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 16.1 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 6 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
135.117.70.2
225.419.12.5
332.916.11.5
433.218.70.1
533.021.10.2

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 111 mm, normal 83 mmNDecember: 82 mm, normal 90 mmDJanuary: 264 mm, normal 105 mmJFebruary: 28 mm, normal 76 mmFMarch: 174 mm, normal 66 mmMApril: 101 mm, normal 34 mmAMay: 27 mm, normal 12 mmMJune: 2.4 mm, normal 4.0 mmJJuly: 0.3 mm, normal 4.2 mmJAugust: 23 mm, normal 5.3 mmASeptember: 32 mm, normal 12 mmSOctober: 4.2 mm, normal 45 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November111 mm, normal 83 mm
December82 mm, normal 90 mm
January264 mm, normal 105 mm
February28 mm, normal 76 mm
March174 mm, normal 66 mm
April101 mm, normal 34 mm
May27 mm, normal 12 mm
June2.4 mm, normal 4.0 mm
July0.3 mm, normal 4.2 mm
August23 mm, normal 5.3 mm
September32 mm, normal 12 mm
October4.2 mm, normal 45 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 521 mm (-3% on the normal)1992: 316 mm (-41% on the normal)1993: 368 mm (-32% on the normal)1994: 404 mm (-25% on the normal)1995: 525 mm (-2% on the normal)1996: 710 mm (+32% on the normal)1997: 554 mm (+3% on the normal)1998: 568 mm (+6% on the normal)1999: 669 mm (+24% on the normal)2000: 906 mm (+68% on the normal)2001: 538 mm (+0% on the normal)2002: 321 mm (-40% on the normal)2003: 460 mm (-14% on the normal)2004: 633 mm (+18% on the normal)2005: 461 mm (-14% on the normal)2006: 778 mm (+45% on the normal)2007: 409 mm (-24% on the normal)2008: 546 mm (+1% on the normal)2009: 624 mm (+16% on the normal)2010: 619 mm (+15% on the normal)2011: 636 mm (+18% on the normal)2012: 488 mm (-9% on the normal)2013: 582 mm (+8% on the normal)2014: 637 mm (+18% on the normal)2015: 398 mm (-26% on the normal)2016: 493 mm (-8% on the normal)2017: 548 mm (+2% on the normal)2018: 418 mm (-22% on the normal)2019: 384 mm (-29% on the normal)2020: 634 mm (+18% on the normal)2021: 597 mm (+11% on the normal)2022: 500 mm (-7% on the normal)2023: 581 mm (+8% on the normal)2024: 430 mm (-20% on the normal)2025: 700 mm (+30% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (538 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991521 mm (-3% on the normal)
1992316 mm (-41% on the normal)
1993368 mm (-32% on the normal)
1994404 mm (-25% on the normal)
1995525 mm (-2% on the normal)
1996710 mm (+32% on the normal)
1997554 mm (+3% on the normal)
1998568 mm (+6% on the normal)
1999669 mm (+24% on the normal)
2000906 mm (+68% on the normal)
2001538 mm (+0% on the normal)
2002321 mm (-40% on the normal)
2003460 mm (-14% on the normal)
2004633 mm (+18% on the normal)
2005461 mm (-14% on the normal)
2006778 mm (+45% on the normal)
2007409 mm (-24% on the normal)
2008546 mm (+1% on the normal)
2009624 mm (+16% on the normal)
2010619 mm (+15% on the normal)
2011636 mm (+18% on the normal)
2012488 mm (-9% on the normal)
2013582 mm (+8% on the normal)
2014637 mm (+18% on the normal)
2015398 mm (-26% on the normal)
2016493 mm (-8% on the normal)
2017548 mm (+2% on the normal)
2018418 mm (-22% on the normal)
2019384 mm (-29% on the normal)
2020634 mm (+18% on the normal)
2021597 mm (+11% on the normal)
2022500 mm (-7% on the normal)
2023581 mm (+8% on the normal)
2024430 mm (-20% on the normal)
2025700 mm (+30% on the normal)

Wettest: 2000 (906 mm). Driest: 1992 (316 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.8 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm1057666341244512458390
Mean °C23.123.021.619.015.812.812.615.719.421.021.722.7

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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