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Weather in Nelson Mandela Bay

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 27.0 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 61 mm. Coldest night 15.0 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid: the 24 grid cells the municipality overlaps, each weighted by its area in it.

November so far, day by day

Nov	High °C	Low °C	Rain mm
1	19.8	16.8	5.9
2	19.8	16.0	4.6
3	22.4	15.0	0.1
4	24.8	16.6	0.0
5	27.0	17.4	0.0

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.

Show the numbers

Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or what	Figure
November	25 mm, normal 61 mm
December	17 mm, normal 50 mm
January	22 mm, normal 44 mm
February	68 mm, normal 48 mm
March	63 mm, normal 51 mm
April	72 mm, normal 45 mm
May	204 mm, normal 29 mm
June	90 mm, normal 30 mm
July	36 mm, normal 30 mm
August	23 mm, normal 43 mm
September	95 mm, normal 37 mm
October	88 mm, normal 53 mm

Every year since 1950

19502025

Rain each year, 1950 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (521 mm a year). Down: drier.

Show the numbers

Rain each year, 1950 to 2025.: every figure
When or what	Figure
1950	550 mm (+6% on the normal)
1951	228 mm (-56% on the normal)
1952	325 mm (-38% on the normal)
1953	412 mm (-21% on the normal)
1954	301 mm (-42% on the normal)
1955	511 mm (-2% on the normal)
1956	415 mm (-20% on the normal)
1957	358 mm (-31% on the normal)
1958	373 mm (-28% on the normal)
1959	524 mm (+1% on the normal)
1960	655 mm (+26% on the normal)
1961	479 mm (-8% on the normal)
1962	402 mm (-23% on the normal)
1963	481 mm (-8% on the normal)
1964	440 mm (-16% on the normal)
1965	367 mm (-30% on the normal)
1966	356 mm (-32% on the normal)
1967	360 mm (-31% on the normal)
1968	289 mm (-45% on the normal)
1969	372 mm (-29% on the normal)
1970	383 mm (-26% on the normal)
1971	605 mm (+16% on the normal)
1972	341 mm (-35% on the normal)
1973	461 mm (-11% on the normal)
1974	756 mm (+45% on the normal)
1975	490 mm (-6% on the normal)
1976	564 mm (+8% on the normal)
1977	649 mm (+25% on the normal)
1978	408 mm (-22% on the normal)
1979	542 mm (+4% on the normal)
1980	406 mm (-22% on the normal)
1981	780 mm (+50% on the normal)
1982	423 mm (-19% on the normal)
1983	545 mm (+5% on the normal)
1984	365 mm (-30% on the normal)
1985	600 mm (+15% on the normal)
1986	592 mm (+14% on the normal)
1987	446 mm (-14% on the normal)
1988	565 mm (+8% on the normal)
1989	589 mm (+13% on the normal)
1990	424 mm (-19% on the normal)
1991	443 mm (-15% on the normal)
1992	550 mm (+6% on the normal)
1993	595 mm (+14% on the normal)
1994	543 mm (+4% on the normal)
1995	603 mm (+16% on the normal)
1996	735 mm (+41% on the normal)
1997	406 mm (-22% on the normal)
1998	471 mm (-10% on the normal)
1999	538 mm (+3% on the normal)
2000	599 mm (+15% on the normal)
2001	641 mm (+23% on the normal)
2002	506 mm (-3% on the normal)
2003	467 mm (-10% on the normal)
2004	533 mm (+2% on the normal)
2005	505 mm (-3% on the normal)
2006	628 mm (+21% on the normal)
2007	521 mm (+0% on the normal)
2008	436 mm (-16% on the normal)
2009	388 mm (-26% on the normal)
2010	454 mm (-13% on the normal)
2011	726 mm (+39% on the normal)
2012	710 mm (+36% on the normal)
2013	475 mm (-9% on the normal)
2014	591 mm (+13% on the normal)
2015	538 mm (+3% on the normal)
2016	408 mm (-22% on the normal)
2017	404 mm (-22% on the normal)
2018	426 mm (-18% on the normal)
2019	337 mm (-35% on the normal)
2020	447 mm (-14% on the normal)
2021	444 mm (-15% on the normal)
2022	433 mm (-17% on the normal)
2023	604 mm (+16% on the normal)
2024	572 mm (+10% on the normal)
2025	354 mm (-32% on the normal)

Wettest: 1981 (780 mm). Driest: 1951 (228 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 36.3 °C in December 2023.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Rain mm	44	48	51	45	29	30	30	43	37	53	61	50
Mean °C	21.8	22.0	20.9	18.6	16.7	14.7	14.2	14.5	15.7	17.3	18.7	20.5

Each ward

Everything we hold for Nelson Mandela Bay, on one page

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.